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Illertissen vs Munich 1860 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Illertissen host Munich 1860 in the Regionalliga Bayern. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Munich 1860 have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Illertissen have conceded 1.11 and scored 2.07. Past meetings favor Munich 1860 slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2018, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.75, favoring Illertissen. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Illertissen
20%
Draws
47%
Munich 1860
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Munich 1860

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Illertissen come out ahead of Munich 1860 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Illertissen Clean Sheet 12%
Munich 1860 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Illertissen Munich 1860
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.07 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2018 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs Munich 1860
0:2
Aug 17, 2017 Regionalliga Bayern
Munich 1860 vs Illertissen
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Illertissen 30 / 100
Munich 1860 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Illertissen Munich 1860

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Illertissen found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Munich 1860's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Illertissen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Illertissen VS Munich 1860
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Illertissen

(Home)
26 Sept
Vilzing
3 : 3
Illertissen
19 Sept
Illertissen
0 : 2
Memmingen
15 Sept
1. FC Schweinfurt
0 : 3
Illertissen
11 Sept
Illertissen
2 : 1
Nurnberg II
04 Sept
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Illertissen
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Munich 1860

(Away)
03 Oct
Munich 1860
4 : 0
Ansbach
26 Sept
Burghausen
3 : 1
Munich 1860
20 Sept
Munich 1860
2 : 0
Nurnberg II
15 Sept
Furth II
1 : 1
Munich 1860
11 Sept
Munich 1860
3 : 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 12 8 3 1 25:11 27
2 Memmingen 12 7 3 2 14:7 24
3 Vfb Eichstatt 12 6 3 3 15:15 21
4 Munich 1860 11 5 5 1 24:13 20
5 Unterhaching 11 5 5 1 15:10 20
6 Illertissen 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
7 Burghausen 12 5 2 5 27:20 17
8 Bayreuth 12 5 1 6 22:18 16
9 Vilzing 11 4 4 3 18:18 16
10 Bayern II 11 4 3 4 14:12 15
11 Eltersdorf 11 4 3 4 17:16 15
12 Augsburg II 12 4 3 5 18:26 15
13 Nurnberg II 11 4 1 6 21:17 13
14 1. FC Schweinfurt 11 3 3 5 16:24 12
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 12 3 3 6 14:23 12
16 Furth II 11 3 2 6 15:18 11
17 Ansbach 11 3 1 7 10:25 10
18 TSV Aubstadt 11 2 2 7 14:20 8
19 Landsberg 11 1 4 6 10:21 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)