Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Illertissen vs Unterhaching

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Milic D.
45' Event
Hasler A.
69' Event
Milic D.

AI Match Summary

Illertissen in this Regionalliga Bayern matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Illertissen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Illertissen
30%
Draws
37%
Unterhaching
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Unterhaching

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Illertissen at 2.15 per game, Unterhaching at 1.76.
  • Win probability leans Unterhaching's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Unterhaching here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Illertissen Clean Sheet 15%
Unterhaching Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Illertissen Unterhaching
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.15 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.04 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs Unterhaching
3:0
Mar 7, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Unterhaching vs Illertissen
2:0
Aug 22, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs Unterhaching
1:2
Nov 12, 2022 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs Unterhaching
3:4
Jul 23, 2022 Regionalliga Bayern
Unterhaching vs Illertissen
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Illertissen Compare

Top Goalscorer Milic D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hasler A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Unterhaching Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Illertissen 27 / 100
Unterhaching 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Illertissen Unterhaching

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unterhaching Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Illertissen found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Illertissen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Unterhaching conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Illertissen VS Unterhaching
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Illertissen

(Home)
11 Sept
Illertissen
2 : 1
Nurnberg II
04 Sept
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Illertissen
29 Aug
Illertissen
0 : 2
Bayern II
21 Aug
Bayreuth
2 : 2
Illertissen
14 Aug
Illertissen
3 : 0
Unterhaching
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Unterhaching

(Away)
11 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
2 : 3
Unterhaching
05 Sept
Unterhaching
3 : 0
Augsburg II
29 Aug
Memmingen
0 : 0
Unterhaching
14 Aug
Illertissen
3 : 0
Unterhaching
08 Aug
Unterhaching
0 : 0
Eltersdorf
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 8 6 2 0 19:6 20
2 Memmingen 8 5 2 1 11:6 17
3 Illertissen 8 4 2 2 14:10 14
4 Unterhaching 7 4 2 1 9:6 14
5 Vilzing 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
6 Munich 1860 7 3 4 0 16:9 13
7 Eltersdorf 7 3 3 1 11:7 12
8 1. FC Schweinfurt 8 3 2 3 14:17 11
9 Vfb Eichstatt 8 3 2 3 8:12 11
10 Augsburg II 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
11 Burghausen 8 3 1 4 19:16 10
12 TSV Aubstadt 7 2 2 3 14:13 8
13 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
14 Nurnberg II 7 2 1 4 12:13 7
15 Bayern II 7 2 1 4 7:8 7
16 Bayreuth 8 2 1 5 12:14 7
17 Furth II 7 2 0 5 9:12 6
18 Landsberg 8 1 3 4 8:13 6
19 Ansbach 7 1 0 6 4:17 3
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)