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Illescas vs Atletico Ibanes

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021 game between Illescas and Atletico Ibanes finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Illescas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Illescas
30%
Draws
33%
Atletico Ibanes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Illescas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Illescas come out ahead of Atletico Ibanes on wins alone.
  • Model gives Illescas a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Illescas Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Ibanes Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Illescas Atletico Ibanes
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 12 14
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.68 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Atletico Ibanes vs Illescas
2:3
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Atletico Ibanes
2:1
May 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Atletico Ibanes vs Illescas
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Atletico Ibanes
0:1
Mar 19, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Atletico Ibanes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Illescas 68 / 100
Atletico Ibanes 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Illescas Atletico Ibanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Illescas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ibanes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Illescas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Illescas scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Illescas VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Illescas

(Home)
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2
Illescas
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0
Socuellamos
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
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Atletico Ibanes

(Away)
05 Jun
Azuqueca
3 : 0
Atletico Ibanes
29 May
Atletico Ibanes
2 : 3
Illescas
23 May
Conquense
2 : 2
Atletico Ibanes
15 May
Atletico Ibanes
2 : 0
Madridejos
09 May
CD Pedroneras
0 : 1
Atletico Ibanes
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