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Illescas vs San Clemente

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Diallo M.
60' Event
Baquero M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 game between Illescas and San Clemente finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Illescas
35%
Draws
16%
San Clemente
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Illescas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Clemente come out ahead of Illescas on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Illescas taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Illescas Clean Sheet 68%
San Clemente Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Illescas San Clemente
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 13 11
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.55 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs San Clemente
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
San Clemente vs Illescas
0:1
Mar 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
San Clemente vs Illescas
2:2
Nov 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs San Clemente
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Illescas Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

San Clemente Compare

Top Goalscorer Baquero M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Illescas 95 / 100
San Clemente 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Illescas San Clemente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Illescas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Clemente let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Illescas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

San Clemente lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Illescas VS San Clemente
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Illescas

(Home)
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2
Illescas
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0
Socuellamos
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
18 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
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San Clemente

(Away)
19 Sept
La Solana
4 : 0
San Clemente
13 Sept
San Clemente
1 : 1
Noblejas
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1
San Clemente
10 May
San Clemente
0 : 2
Albacete B
03 May
La Solana
4 : 1
San Clemente
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)