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Illescas vs Sonseca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Martin A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 game between Illescas and Sonseca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Illescas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Illescas
30%
Draws
35%
Sonseca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Illescas have managed 0.48 goals a game lately — Sonseca are scoring more at 0.83.
  • Win probability leans Illescas's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Illescas Clean Sheet 68%
Sonseca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Illescas Sonseca
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 12 5
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 0.48 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Sonseca
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sonseca vs Illescas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Illescas Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Sonseca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Illescas 77 / 100
Sonseca 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Illescas Sonseca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Illescas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sonseca conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Illescas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Sonseca has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Illescas VS Sonseca
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.83
38% Over 1.5 83%
13% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Illescas

(Home)
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2
Illescas
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0
Socuellamos
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
18 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
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Sonseca

(Away)
10 May
Sonseca
1 : 0
Marchamalo
03 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 2
Sonseca
26 Apr
Azuqueca
4 : 1
Sonseca
19 Apr
Sonseca
1 : 2
Villarrobledo
11 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 1
Sonseca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)