Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Barreto S.
79'
79'
Segovia D.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 game between Illescas and Toledo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
35%
9%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Illescas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Toledo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Illescas a 56% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Illescas Clean Sheet 68%
Toledo Clean Sheet 22%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Illescas | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 17 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Toledo
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Illescas
4:0
Jan 4, 2025 Club Friendly
Illescas vs Toledo
1:0
Aug 23, 2023 Club Friendly
Illescas vs Toledo
1:1
Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Toledo
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Illescas Compare
Top Goalscorer Segovia D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26
Toledo Compare
Top Goalscorer Barreto S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Illescas 59 / 100
Toledo 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Illescas Toledo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ILL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Illescas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Toledo lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Illescas found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Illescas VS Toledo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Illescas
(Home) 10 May
Illescas
0 : 0 Manchego Ciudad Real
03 May
Villarrobledo
0 : 0 Illescas
25 Apr
Illescas
1 : 0 Albacete B
19 Apr
La Solana
1 : 0 Illescas
11 Apr
Illescas
1 : 1 Toledo
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Illescas
0 : 0 Manchego Ciudad Real
25 Apr
Illescas
1 : 0 Albacete B
11 Apr
Illescas
1 : 1 Toledo
28 Mar
Illescas
0 : 1 Huracan de Balazote
15 Mar
Illescas
2 : 1 Marchamalo
Page 1 of 3
Toledo
(Away) 05 Aug
Toledo
1 : 3 Navalcarnero
24 May
Toledo
0 : 1 Albacete B
17 May
Albacete B
0 : 0 Toledo
10 May
CD Pedroneras
1 : 0 Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2 Puertollano C.F.
Page 1 of 7
17 May
Albacete B
0 : 0 Toledo
10 May
CD Pedroneras
1 : 0 Toledo
26 Apr
San Clemente
0 : 4 Toledo
11 Apr
Illescas
1 : 1 Toledo
29 Mar
Villarrobledo
0 : 0 Toledo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puertollano C.F. | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 54:21 | 74 |
| 2 | CD Tarancon | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 62:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Toledo | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:17 | 68 |
| 4 | Albacete B | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 49:17 | 64 |
| 5 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:29 | 61 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:35 | 53 |
| 7 | Villacanas | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 29:26 | 48 |
| 8 | San Clemente | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:44 | 47 |
| 9 | CD Guadalajara B | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 30:37 | 43 |
| 10 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:36 | 43 |
| 11 | Huracan de Balazote | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 33:45 | 41 |
| 12 | Illescas | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 21:32 | 37 |
| 13 | Marchamalo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 14 | La Solana | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 26:38 | 35 |
| 15 | Azuqueca | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 34:39 | 34 |
| 16 | CD Pedroneras | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 28:43 | 33 |
| 17 | Sonseca | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28:69 | 22 |
| 18 | Cazalegas | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17:64 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
