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Illescas vs Villarrubia Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

55'
Chinchurreta D.
90'
Moreno D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 game between Illescas and Villarrubia finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Illescas
35%
Draws
25%
Villarrubia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Illescas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villarrubia come out ahead of Illescas on wins alone.
  • Illescas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Illescas Clean Sheet 68%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Illescas Villarrubia
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 8 12
Draws 12 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.61 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Villarrubia
2:0
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Villarrubia
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Illescas
2:3
May 6, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Villarrubia
0:0
Apr 30, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Illescas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Illescas 95 / 100
Villarrubia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Illescas Villarrubia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Illescas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Villarrubia conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Illescas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Illescas's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Illescas VS Villarrubia
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Illescas

(Home)
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2
Illescas
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0
Socuellamos
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
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Villarrubia

(Away)
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1
San Clemente
09 May
Villarrubia
1 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)