Sport Picks

Russia

Russian Cup

Metallurg Asha

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Russian Cup. This has Metallurg Asha written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Ilpar FC at 0.83 goals for, 2.33 against; Metallurg Asha at 0.5 for, 2 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 1.42) point toward Metallurg Asha. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Ilpar FC

44%

Draws

20%

Metallurg Asha

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Ilpar FC come out ahead of Metallurg Asha on wins alone.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Ilpar FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Ilpar FC Clean Sheet 17%

Metallurg Asha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ilpar FC	Metallurg Asha
Matches Played	5	3
Wins	1	0
Draws	0	0
Losses	4	3
Goals Scored	0.83	0.5
Goals Conceded	2.33	2
Expected Goals (xG)	0.83	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.33	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilpar FC 36 / 100

Metallurg Asha 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ilpar FC Metallurg Asha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Metallurg Asha conceded in 100% of 3 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Ilpar FC scored in 60% of their last 5 outings.

Metallurg Asha lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Solid form: Ilpar FC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ilpar FC VS Metallurg Asha

0.83 Goals Scored 0.5

2.33 Goals Conceded 2

83% Over 1.5 75%

67% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilpar FC

(Home)

21 Aug

Tyumen

4 : 1

Ilpar FC

06 Aug

Ilpar FC

3 : 2

Nosta

30 Jul

Ilpar FC

0 : 2

Uralets Nizhny Tagil

02 Aug

Ilpar FC

1 : 3

Torpedo Miass

28 Jul

Ilpar FC

0 : 3

Zenit-Izhevsk

Metallurg Asha

(Away)

25 Mar

Ufa

3 : 0

Metallurg Asha

23 Jul

Metallurg Asha

1 : 3

Zenit-Izhevsk

16 Jul

Metallurg Asha

1 : 2

Chelyabinsk

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Amkar-

TBD-

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod-

Khimik-

TBD-

Nosta-

Irtysh Omsk-

TBD-

Saturn Ramenskoye-

Chita-

FC Irkutsk-

TBD-

FC Chertanovo Moscow-

Spartak Nalchik-

TBD-

Alania Vladikavkaz-

Nart Cherkessk-

TBD-

Dynamo Stavropol-

Angust Nazran-

TBD-

Maykop-

FK Izhevsk-

TBD-

Torpedo Miass-

Kvant Obninsk-

TBD-

Ryazan-

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk-

Salyut-Belgorod-

TBD-

Kursk-

Strogino Moscow-

TBD-

Vladimir-

Zvezda St Peterburg-

TBD-

Luki-Energiya-

Dynamo Vologda-

TBD-

FK Tver-

Volna Nizhegorodskaya-

TBD-

Tyumen-

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye-

TBD-

Anzhi-

Izberbash-

Ilpar FC-

Metallurg Asha-

TBD-

Saratov-

Anri Vladivostok-

Dynamo Barnaul-

TBD-

Dynamo Vladivostok-

Temp Barnaul-

KDV Tomsk-

TBD-

Sibir Novosibirsk-

FC Volgar-Astrakhan-

TBD-

FK Pobeda-

Astrakhan-

TBD-

Mashuk-

2Drots-

FC Oryol-

TBD-

FK Shumbrat Saransk-

FC Murom-

TBD-

M. Lipetsk-

SKA Rostov-on-Don-

Penza-

TBD-

Spartak Tambov-

Kaluga-

TBD-

Iskra Smolensk-

Kristall-

Znamya Noginsk-

TBD-

D. Bryansk-

Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie-

FK Tosno-

TBD-

Cherepovets-

FC 10-

Kosmos-

TBD-

Dynamo Petersburg-

Bomik-

Broke Boys-

TBD-

Kirov-

Shinnik Yaroslavl-

TBD-

Torpedo Moscow-

Tekstilshtik-

TBD-

Arsenal Tula-

TBD-

1/16-finals

Amkar-

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod-

Khimik-

Nosta-

Irtysh Omsk-

Saturn Ramenskoye-

TBD-

FC Chertanovo Moscow-

Spartak Nalchik-

Alania Vladikavkaz-

Nart Cherkessk-

Dynamo Stavropol-

Angust Nazran-

Maykop-

FK Izhevsk-

Torpedo Miass-

Kvant Obninsk-

Ryazan-

TBD-

Kursk-

Strogino Moscow-

Vladimir-

Zvezda St Peterburg-

Luki-Energiya-

Dynamo Vologda-

FK Tver-

Volna Nizhegorodskaya-

Tyumen-

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye-

TBD-

Saratov-

TBD-

Dynamo Vladivostok-

TBD-

Sibir Novosibirsk-

FC Volgar-Astrakhan-

FK Pobeda-

Astrakhan-

Mashuk-

TBD-

FK Shumbrat Saransk-

FC Murom-

M. Lipetsk-

TBD-

Spartak Tambov-

Kaluga-

Iskra Smolensk-

TBD-

D. Bryansk-

TBD-

Cherepovets-

TBD-

Dynamo Petersburg-

TBD-

Kirov-

Shinnik Yaroslavl-

TBD-

Torpedo Moscow-

Tekstilshtik-

TBD-

Arsenal Tula-

TBD-

1/8-finals

TBD-

Shinnik Yaroslavl-

TBD-

Torpedo Moscow-

Tekstilshtik-

TBD-

Arsenal Tula-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

TBD-

Shinnik Yaroslavl-

Torpedo Moscow-

Tekstilshtik-

Arsenal Tula-

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-

Ilpar FC vs Metallurg Asha

Russia

Ilpar FC

Metallurg Asha

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ilpar FC

Metallurg Asha

Tournament Bracket & Draw