Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group G 2024/2025

Guidonia 1937

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ilvamaddalena play Guidonia 1937 in the Serie D - Group G 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ilvamaddalena averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Guidonia 1937 averaged 0.97 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Ilvamaddalena won 0, Guidonia 1937 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 13, 2025 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Ilvamaddalena and 0.99 for Guidonia 1937. This points to a Guidonia 1937 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Ilvamaddalena

35%

Draws

35%

Guidonia 1937

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guidonia 1937

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Ilvamaddalena picked up more points recently compared to Guidonia 1937.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.99 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 33%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Ilvamaddalena Clean Sheet 23%

Guidonia 1937 Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ilvamaddalena	Guidonia 1937
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	8	7
Draws	8	14
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1.13	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.33	0.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group G

Ilvamaddalena vs Guidonia 1937

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

0:3

Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group G

Guidonia 1937 vs Ilvamaddalena

Possession: 53% - 48% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilvamaddalena Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Guidonia 1937 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cali A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Spinosa M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilvamaddalena 32 / 100

Guidonia 1937 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ilvamaddalena Guidonia 1937

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Guidonia 1937 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +22.1%

3.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ilvamaddalena attacking → ← attacking Guidonia 1937

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilvamaddalena scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Guidonia 1937 let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ilvamaddalena went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Guidonia 1937 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 35

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Guidonia 1937	34	20	9	5	59:25	69
2	Gelbison	34	18	10	6	57:37	64
3	Sarnese	34	18	8	8	54:37	62
4	Cassino	34	15	13	6	40:25	58
5	A.C. Savoia	34	16	9	9	45:33	57
6	Paganese	34	15	11	8	41:28	56
7	Cynthialbalonga	34	15	6	13	49:42	51
8	Puteolana Internapoli	34	13	11	10	48:42	50
9	Trastevere Calcio	34	12	8	14	52:55	44
10	Olbia	34	11	9	14	46:50	42
11	Latte Dolce	34	11	8	15	52:57	41
12	Anzio Calcio 1924	34	10	10	14	39:57	40
13	Atl. Lodigiani	34	9	11	14	39:49	38
14	Real Monterotondo	34	10	8	16	34:39	38
15	Ilvamaddalena	34	10	8	16	39:41	38
16	Sarrabus Ogliastra	34	8	9	17	35:56	33
17	Atletico Uri	34	6	11	17	33:53	29
18	Terracina	34	5	9	20	27:63	24