Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilves 2 vs Honka

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group B Tammelan Stadion
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ilves 2 play Honka in the Kakkonen Group B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ilves 2 averaged 2.44 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Honka averaged 3.26 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Ilves 2 won 3, Honka won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Ilves 2 and 2.25 for Honka. This points to a Honka double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ilves 2
18%
Draws
43%
Honka
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Honka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ilves 2 picked up more points recently compared to Honka.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ilves 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Honka Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves 2 Honka
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 19 28
Draws 9 2
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.44 3.26
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Kakkonen Group B
Honka vs Ilves 2
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Honka vs Ilves 2
4:2
Sep 7, 2024 Kakkonen Group B
Ilves 2 vs Honka
4:1
Jul 13, 2024 Kakkonen Group B
Ilves 2 vs Honka
2:1
May 12, 2024 Kakkonen Group B
Honka vs Ilves 2
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves 2 37 / 100
Honka 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves 2 Honka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Honka or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ilves 2 attacking → ← attacking Honka

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves 2 scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Honka let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Ilves 2 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Honka lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 86
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 3.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Honka1192037:829
2Abo IFK1182128:1026
3Ilves 21054127:1719
4HJS1153318:1518
5Pallo-Iirot1152421:1617
6GrIFK1143414:1715
7EPS1132620:2011
8MuSa1223715:379
9EBK1122714:278
10NJS1101106:331