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Ilves 2 W vs KuPS Akatemia W

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Women 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ilves 2 W play KuPS Akatemia W in the Ykkonen Women 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ilves 2 W averaged 2.03 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. KuPS Akatemia W averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Ilves 2 W won 2, KuPS Akatemia W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 16, 2023 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Ilves 2 W and 1.75 for KuPS Akatemia W. This points to a Ilves 2 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ilves 2 W
23%
Draws
35%
KuPS Akatemia W
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Ilves 2 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Ilves 2 W picked up more points recently compared to KuPS Akatemia W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Ilves 2 W Clean Sheet 12%
KuPS Akatemia W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves 2 W KuPS Akatemia W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 2.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2023 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KuPS Akatemia W vs Ilves 2 W
2:1
Aug 26, 2023 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KuPS Akatemia W vs Ilves 2 W
1:2
Jun 11, 2023 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Ilves 2 W vs KuPS Akatemia W
1:1
Aug 14, 2022 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Ilves 2 W vs KuPS Akatemia W
2:0
May 15, 2022 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KuPS Akatemia W vs Ilves 2 W
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves 2 W 40 / 100
KuPS Akatemia W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves 2 W KuPS Akatemia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ilves 2 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ilves 2 W attacking → ← attacking KuPS Akatemia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves 2 W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

KuPS Akatemia W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Ilves 2 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

KuPS Akatemia W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 30
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Keski-Uusimaa W18124235:1440
2TPS W18131433:1440
3JyPK W18103526:1333
4Ilves 2 W1875625:2126
5KuPS Akatemia W1866618:1724
6VIFK Vaasa W1873829:3024
7Pallo-Iirot W1865721:2223
8EBK W18531023:3918
9VJS W18261021:4112
10Sport Vaasa W18241219:3910