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Ilves 2 W vs Pallo-Iirot W

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Women 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ilves 2 W play Pallo-Iirot W in the Ykkonen Women 2022. Ilves 2 W are favorites here. Recently, Ilves 2 W averaged 2.15 goals scored and 2.18 conceded. Pallo-Iirot W averaged 1.11 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Ilves 2 W won 3, Pallo-Iirot W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 13, 2024 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Ilves 2 W and 1.00 for Pallo-Iirot W. This points to a Ilves 2 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Ilves 2 W
25%
Draws
15%
Pallo-Iirot W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ilves 2 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Ilves 2 W picked up more points recently compared to Pallo-Iirot W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Ilves 2 W Clean Sheet 23%
Pallo-Iirot W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves 2 W Pallo-Iirot W
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 2.15 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.18 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Pallo-Iirot W vs Ilves 2 W
0:3
Aug 16, 2024 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Pallo-Iirot W vs Ilves 2 W
4:2
May 25, 2024 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Ilves 2 W vs Pallo-Iirot W
3:1
Oct 7, 2023 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Ilves 2 W vs Pallo-Iirot W
3:0
Aug 6, 2023 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Ilves 2 W vs Pallo-Iirot W
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves 2 W 59 / 100
Pallo-Iirot W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves 2 W Pallo-Iirot W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilves 2 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ilves 2 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ilves 2 W attacking → ← attacking Pallo-Iirot W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves 2 W scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Pallo-Iirot W let in goals in 69% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Ilves 2 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pallo-Iirot W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 45
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
3.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Keski-Uusimaa W18124235:1440
2TPS W18131433:1440
3JyPK W18103526:1333
4Ilves 2 W1875625:2126
5KuPS Akatemia W1866618:1724
6VIFK Vaasa W1873829:3024
7Pallo-Iirot W1865721:2223
8EBK W18531023:3918
9VJS W18261021:4112
10Sport Vaasa W18241219:3910