Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilves vs AC Oulu

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Ilves Logo

Ilves

1 - 0
FT
AC Oulu Logo

AC Oulu

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Hytonen T.
Assist: Pettersson O.
37'
Kumpu V.
51'
Multala O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ilves in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ilves
20%
Draws
29%
AC Oulu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ilves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Oulu have won more games recently than Ilves.
  • Ilves are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ilves Clean Sheet 20%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves AC Oulu
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.7 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.26 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs Ilves
1:0
May 8, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs AC Oulu
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Liiga Cup
Ilves vs AC Oulu
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs Ilves
0:4
May 24, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs AC Oulu
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves Compare

Top Goalscorer Hytonen T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.63

AC Oulu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves 85 / 100
AC Oulu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves AC Oulu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

AC Oulu let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ilves stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilves VS AC Oulu
1.38 Goals Scored 0.43
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.14
63% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 14%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves

(Home)
13 Aug
Ilves
1 : 1
Rijeka
09 Aug
Ilves
2 : 0
Mariehamn
06 Aug
Rijeka
1 : 0
Ilves
02 Aug
AC Oulu
1 : 0
Ilves
30 Jul
Ilves
3 : 1
Stjarnan
Page 1 of 6

AC Oulu

(Away)
09 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 1
HJK
02 Aug
AC Oulu
1 : 0
Ilves
25 Jul
Mariehamn
1 : 1
AC Oulu
18 Jul
AC Oulu
0 : 2
Gnistan
11 Jul
TPS
3 : 0
AC Oulu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 19 11 7 1 34:17 40
2 Inter Turku 19 9 8 2 25:14 35
3 HJK 19 9 4 6 29:23 31
4 VPS 20 8 6 6 28:21 30
5 AC Oulu 19 9 3 7 22:22 30
6 Gnistan 19 8 5 6 29:24 29
7 TPS 20 8 5 7 27:22 29
8 Lahti 19 7 5 7 22:16 26
9 Ilves 19 7 4 8 31:31 25
10 SJK 19 4 6 9 24:29 18
11 Jaro 19 3 6 10 18:38 15
12 Mariehamn 19 0 5 14 9:41 5
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)