Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilves vs HJK

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Mon, Aug 31, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ilves host HJK in the Veikkausliiga. This one's hard to separate. Ilves have averaged 1.72 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against HJK's 2.31 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor HJK slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 1, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.19, favoring HJK. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ilves
20%
Draws
51%
HJK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HJK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HJK lately — more wins on the board than Ilves.
  • Model gives Ilves a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ilves Clean Sheet 20%
HJK Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves HJK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.72 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Suomen Cup
HJK vs Ilves
2:1
May 16, 2026 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs Ilves
2:2
Oct 30, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs HJK
3:1
Sep 29, 2025 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs Ilves
2:2
Aug 11, 2025 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs Ilves
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves 42 / 100
HJK 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves HJK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: HJK conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Ilves has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ilves VS HJK
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves

(Home)
17 Aug
Gnistan
3 : 2
Ilves
13 Aug
Ilves
1 : 1
Rijeka
09 Aug
Ilves
2 : 0
Mariehamn
06 Aug
Rijeka
1 : 0
Ilves
02 Aug
AC Oulu
1 : 0
Ilves
Page 1 of 6

HJK

(Away)
16 Aug
HJK
3 : 0
Jaro
13 Aug
Motherwell
2 : 0
HJK
09 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 1
HJK
06 Aug
HJK
1 : 1
Motherwell
03 Aug
SJK
3 : 0
HJK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 20 12 7 1 36:18 43
2 Inter Turku 20 10 8 2 28:16 38
3 HJK 20 10 4 6 32:23 34
4 Gnistan 20 9 5 6 32:26 32
5 VPS 20 8 6 6 28:21 30
6 AC Oulu 20 9 3 8 24:25 30
7 TPS 20 8 5 7 27:22 29
8 Lahti 20 7 5 8 23:18 26
9 Ilves 20 7 4 9 33:34 25
10 SJK 20 4 6 10 24:31 18
11 Jaro 20 3 6 11 18:41 15
12 Mariehamn 20 1 5 14 11:41 8
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)