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Stadium Background

Ilves vs Jaro

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Ilves Logo

Ilves

2 - 0
FT
Jaro Logo

Jaro

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Vidjeskog A.
17'
Myrevik J.
55'
Sub
Multala O. In: Raap Y.
Out: Multala O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ilves in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ilves
15%
Draws
0%
Jaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ilves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ilves lately — more wins on the board than Jaro.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ilves taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ilves have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ilves Clean Sheet 20%
Jaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves Jaro
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.68 1
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs Jaro
2:0
Jul 4, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs Ilves
2:1
Jun 17, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs Jaro
5:0
Jan 31, 2026 Liiga Cup
Ilves vs Jaro
4:2
Jul 20, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs Ilves
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves Compare

Top Goalscorer Hytonen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tamminen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Jaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves 85 / 100
Jaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves Jaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Jaro conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Jaro registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilves VS Jaro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves

(Home)
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1
VPS
17 Aug
Gnistan
3 : 2
Ilves
13 Aug
Ilves
1 : 1
Rijeka
Page 1 of 7

Jaro

(Away)
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
16 Aug
HJK
3 : 0
Jaro
08 Aug
Jaro
1 : 3
VPS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Lahti 24 10 5 9 29:23 35
8 TPS 24 8 8 8 28:24 32
9 Ilves 24 9 4 11 39:38 31
10 SJK 24 4 9 11 26:34 21
11 Mariehamn 24 4 5 15 19:45 17
12 Jaro 24 3 7 14 19:47 16
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga 2027 (Main)