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Ilves vs Lahti

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ilves host Lahti in the Veikkausliiga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Ilves have averaged 2.25 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Lahti's 1.63 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Ilves have won 1 to Lahti's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Jun 10, 2026, ending 5:2. xG projections (1.75 - 1.88) back Ilves to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ilves
40%
Draws
29%
Lahti
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ilves lately — more wins on the board than Lahti.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ilves Clean Sheet 10%
Lahti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves Lahti
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Suomen Cup
Ilves vs Lahti
5:2
May 30, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs Ilves
5:0
Jun 29, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs Ilves
2:2
Apr 6, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs Lahti
0:0
Mar 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Ilves vs Lahti
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves 30 / 100
Lahti 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves Lahti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Lahti conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Ilves went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilves VS Lahti
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves

(Home)
16 Jul
Ilves
3 : 1
Differdange
08 Jul
Differdange
0 : 0
Ilves
04 Jul
Jaro
2 : 1
Ilves
01 Jul
HJK
2 : 1
Ilves
27 Jun
Ilves
2 : 2
SJK
Page 1 of 6

Lahti

(Away)
11 Jul
Lahti
2 : 0
HJK
04 Jul
Lahti
1 : 0
Gnistan
27 Jun
AC Oulu
1 : 1
Lahti
23 Jun
Lahti
0 : 0
TPS
17 Jun
Gnistan
1 : 0
Lahti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS1696129:1533
2Inter Turku1586123:1230
3VPS1676323:1327
4AC Oulu1682620:2026
5HJK1674527:2025
6Gnistan1674525:2025
7TPS1564519:1622
8Lahti1554618:1519
9Ilves1544725:2916
10SJK1635818:2514
11Jaro1525815:3211
12Mariehamn1504118:334
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)