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Ilves vs Lahti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Ilves Logo

Ilves

1 - 0
FT
Lahti Logo

Lahti

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Kanga J.
45'
Raap Y.
46'
Sub
Raap Y. In: Kilo J.
Out: Raap Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ilves in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Ilves
15%
Draws
31%
Lahti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ilves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ilves lately — more wins on the board than Lahti.
  • Model gives Ilves a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ilves Clean Sheet 20%
Lahti Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves Lahti
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.76 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs Lahti
3:1
Jul 26, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs Lahti
1:0
Jun 10, 2026 Suomen Cup
Ilves vs Lahti
5:2
May 30, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs Ilves
5:0
Jun 29, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs Ilves
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanga J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lahti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves 85 / 100
Lahti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves Lahti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ilves scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Lahti conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Ilves went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilves VS Lahti
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves

(Home)
03 Oct
Ilves
3 : 0
Haka
19 Sept
TPS
0 : 3
Ilves
12 Sept
Ilves
3 : 1
Lahti
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
Page 1 of 6

Lahti

(Away)
09 Oct
SJK
1 : 0
Lahti
18 Sept
Lahti
1 : 1
Jaro
12 Sept
Ilves
3 : 1
Lahti
08 Sept
Lahti
2 : 1
Mariehamn
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Lahti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)