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Ilves vs Mikkelin

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Hytonen T.
(Penalty)
87' Event
Kilo J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Ilves and Mikkelin finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ilves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ilves
15%
Draws
34%
Mikkelin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ilves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Mikkelin haven't matched Ilves's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ilves a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ilves Clean Sheet 20%
Mikkelin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves Mikkelin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.73 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Ilves vs Mikkelin
2:0
Dec 17, 2021 Club Friendly
Mikkelin vs Ilves
4:3
Feb 10, 2017 Suomen Cup
Ilves vs Mikkelin
4:0
Jun 25, 1998 Ykkosliiga
Mikkelin vs Ilves
4:2
May 14, 1998 Ykkosliiga
Ilves vs Mikkelin
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Mikkelin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves 67 / 100
Mikkelin 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves Mikkelin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Mikkelin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Mikkelin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilves VS Mikkelin
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves

(Home)
12 Sept
Ilves
3 : 1
Lahti
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1
VPS
17 Aug
Gnistan
3 : 2
Ilves
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Mikkelin

(Away)
12 Sept
Mikkelin
1 : 1
SJK Akatemia
06 Sept
Haka
0 : 2
Mikkelin
29 Aug
Mikkelin
0 : 3
PK-35
22 Aug
Klubi 04
4 : 3
Mikkelin
16 Aug
Mikkelin
0 : 2
Ekenas IF
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