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Ilves vs PS Kemi

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga 2018 Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Jorginho In: Esposito J.
Out: Jorginho
53' Event
Thiaw I.
60' Event
Jarvinen I.

AI Match Summary

Ilves in this Veikkausliiga 2018 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ilves
15%
Draws
51%
PS Kemi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PS Kemi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ilves lately — more wins on the board than PS Kemi.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ilves have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ilves Clean Sheet 19%
PS Kemi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves PS Kemi
Matches Played 34 26
Wins 16 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.76 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2018 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs PS Kemi
4:0
Jul 22, 2018 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs PS Kemi
2:0
May 22, 2018 Veikkausliiga
PS Kemi vs Ilves
0:2
Oct 20, 2017 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs PS Kemi
1:0
Aug 9, 2017 Veikkausliiga
PS Kemi vs Ilves
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiaw I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jarvinen I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

PS Kemi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves 32 / 100
PS Kemi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves PS Kemi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PS Kemi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: PS Kemi conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: PS Kemi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilves VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves

(Home)
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1
VPS
17 Aug
Gnistan
3 : 2
Ilves
13 Aug
Ilves
1 : 1
Rijeka
Page 1 of 7

PS Kemi

(Away)
27 Oct
Lahti
1 : 2
PS Kemi
21 Oct
PS Kemi
2 : 0
Mariehamn
06 Oct
PS Kemi
0 : 2
Inter Turku
29 Sept
Ilves
4 : 0
PS Kemi
22 Sept
PS Kemi
0 : 2
VPS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK 33 24 6 3 61:19 78
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 33 18 8 7 42:25 62
3 KuPS 33 17 7 9 56:37 58
4 Honka 33 15 13 5 51:33 58
5 Ilves 33 14 7 12 45:41 49
6 VPS 33 10 11 12 37:43 41
7 Inter Turku 33 10 10 13 37:44 40
8 Lahti 33 9 13 11 30:38 40
9 SJK 33 8 8 17 28:37 32
10 Mariehamn 33 8 7 18 37:59 31
11 TPS 33 7 8 18 37:55 29
12 PS Kemi 33 6 6 21 29:59 24
Relegation - Ykkonen 2018 (Promotion)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2019/2020 (Qualification)