Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Kilo J.
45'
45'
Anini S.
46'
46'
Sub
Karkulowski T. In: Zaal T.
Out: Karkulowski T.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: TPS
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ilves come out ahead of TPS on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Ilves have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ilves, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Ilves have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ilves Clean Sheet 20%
TPS Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ilves | TPS |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 20, 2026 Veikkausliiga
TPS vs Ilves
1:3
Jun 13, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs TPS
1:0
May 27, 2026 Suomen Cup
Ilves vs TPS
1:0
Apr 26, 2023 Suomen Cup
TPS vs Ilves
0:2
Mar 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Ilves vs TPS
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ilves Compare
Top Goalscorer Kilo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
TPS Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ilves 36 / 100
TPS 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ilves TPS
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TPS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ilves scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: TPS conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Ilves remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ilves VS TPS
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ilves
(Home) 08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0 Jaro
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2 HJK
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1 VPS
17 Aug
Gnistan
3 : 2 Ilves
13 Aug
Ilves
1 : 1 Rijeka
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0 Jaro
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2 HJK
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1 VPS
13 Aug
Ilves
1 : 1 Rijeka
09 Aug
Ilves
2 : 0 Mariehamn
Page 1 of 4
TPS
(Away) 08 Sept
TPS
0 : 0 SJK
31 Aug
Gnistan
1 : 1 TPS
23 Aug
TPS
0 : 0 Inter Turku
14 Aug
VPS
1 : 3 TPS
09 Aug
KuPS
1 : 1 TPS
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Gnistan
1 : 1 TPS
14 Aug
VPS
1 : 3 TPS
09 Aug
KuPS
1 : 1 TPS
26 Jul
HJK
1 : 0 TPS
04 Jul
SJK
3 : 1 TPS
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Germania Helsinki 2
Jokerit FC 4
Mando United 0
HIFK 16
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit / Lauttasaari 3
Toolon Taisto 4
Tuusulan Palloseura 0
JaPS 2
Stapa de Royale 2
Loiske Lempaala 1
HPS II 1
PK-35 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Karhu-Futis 1
Leki 6
SalPa 2 0
VPS 11
TPS 2 1
MaPS 4
VaKP 0
Abo IFK 6
Toukolan Teras 0
Valtti 1
FC SUMU / SOB 2
EPS 3
FC Kangasala 1
EIF Academy 2
Lasten 0
Haka 3
VPV 0
SJK Akatemia 3
Santa Claus 1
OLS Oulu 9
Rollon Pojat 3
KaPa 1924 2
VIFK 4
KPV Kokkola 5
Kajaanin Haka 0
VPS 2 4
HAPK 1
SJK 6
NiemU 0
PEPO 1
Vaajakoski 0
JJK Jyvaskyla 1
Inter Turku -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LappBK 1
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 8
Heinapaan Hanhet 24 0
JS Hercules 10
MPS 0
EBK 7
POHU 3
Gnistan 0
VG-62 Naantali 1
Narpes Kraft 3
TPV 0
Tampere Utd 2
Kuopion Elo 0
Huima / Urho 10
Lahden Reipas 1
KuPS Akatemia 2
POHU/Hurjin 0
Atlantis 8
LePa 1
Honka 4
FC Futura 4
GrIFK 1
JaPS Akatemia 0
VJS 7
HauPa 2
GBK Kokkola 3
AC Oulu 1
Jaro 2
Ylivieska 2
JBK 1
FC Kiisto Vaasa 1
RoPS Rovaniemi 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HJK -
VJS 2 4
LoPa 1
Keski-Uusimaa 2
KaPa 3
PoPo 2
PK-37 1
KoPa 0
MyPa 5
AC Estudiantes 0
PIF Pargas 4
TPV 2 0
Pallo-Iirot 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilves -
Fish United 0
SalPa 4
Ekenas IF 1
TPS 2
Gilla FC 2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 5
Ylojarvi United 0
HJS 7
HPS 3
NJS 0
Kiffen 3 0
Mariehamn 5
Gnistan/M35 3
TiPS U21 2
Kiffen 1
PuiU Helsinki 2
KyPa 0
Union Plaani 4
KTP 1
Lahti 3
JIPPO II 0
JPS Jyvaskyla 2
Jippo 1
Mikkelin 2
1/32-finals
Jokerit FC 0
HIFK 5
Toolon Taisto 1
JaPS 9
Stapa de Royale 1
PK-35 8
TBD -
KuPS -
Leki 1
VPS 9
MaPS 0
Abo IFK 1
Valtti 0
EPS 2
EIF Academy 0
Haka 7
SJK Akatemia 2
OLS Oulu 1
Rollon Pojat 0
KPV Kokkola 4
VPS 2 1
SJK 6
PEPO 2
JJK Jyvaskyla 1
Inter Turku -
TBD -
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 1
JS Hercules 4
EBK 5
POHU 4
Narpes Kraft 0
Tampere Utd 6
Huima / Urho 0
KuPS Akatemia 4
Atlantis 3
Honka 4
FC Futura 2
VJS 3
GBK Kokkola 0
Jaro 2
Ylivieska 0
RoPS Rovaniemi 1
TBD -
HJK -
VJS 2 1
KaPa 3
PoPo 1
MyPa 4
PIF Pargas 0
Pallo-Iirot 2
TBD -
Ilves -
SalPa 1
TPS 2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 0
HJS 1
HPS 1
Mariehamn 2
Gnistan/M35 1
PuiU Helsinki 2
Union Plaani 2
Lahti 4
JPS Jyvaskyla 3
Mikkelin 5
1/16-finals
HIFK 1
JaPS 3
PK-35 0
KuPS 2
VPS 7
Abo IFK 0
EPS 0
Haka 4
SJK Akatemia 2
KPV Kokkola 0
SJK 3
PEPO 0
Inter Turku 8
JS Hercules 0
EBK 3
Tampere Utd 2
KuPS Akatemia 0
Honka 1
VJS 5
Jaro 3
RoPS Rovaniemi 0
HJK 4
KaPa 1
MyPa 2
Pallo-Iirot 0
Ilves 4
TPS 3
HJS 0
Mariehamn 3
PuiU Helsinki 0
Lahti 3
Mikkelin 1
1/8-finals
JaPS 0
KuPS 1
VPS 4
Haka 0
SJK Akatemia 0
SJK 5
Inter Turku 2
EBK 1
Honka 5
VJS 1
HJK 11
MyPa 1
Ilves 1
TPS 0
Mariehamn 0
Lahti 1
Quarter-finals
KuPS 0
VPS 1
SJK 1
Inter Turku 2
Honka 1
HJK 7
Ilves 5
Lahti 2
Semi-finals
VPS 2
Inter Turku 3
HJK 2
Ilves 1
Final
Inter Turku 1
HJK 0
