Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Kilo J.
45'
45'
Anini S.
46'
46'
Sub
Karkulowski T. In: Zaal T.
Out: Karkulowski T.
AI Match Summary
The Suomen Cup game between Ilves and TPS finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ilves.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ilves's 2.38 goals per match outpaces what TPS have produced (0.88).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Suomen Cup game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ilves here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ilves Clean Sheet 19%
TPS Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ilves | TPS |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 13, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs TPS
1:0
May 27, 2026 Suomen Cup
Ilves vs TPS
1:0
Apr 26, 2023 Suomen Cup
TPS vs Ilves
0:2
Mar 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Ilves vs TPS
2:0
Jan 15, 2021 Club Friendly
TPS vs Ilves
1:7
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ilves Compare
Top Goalscorer Kilo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
TPS Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ilves 36 / 100
TPS 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ilves TPS
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TPS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ilves found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).
Defensive concern: TPS conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Ilves stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ilves VS TPS
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Germania Helsinki2
Jokerit FC4
Mando United0
HIFK16
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit / Lauttasaari3
Toolon Taisto4
Tuusulan Palloseura0
JaPS2
Stapa de Royale2
Loiske Lempaala1
HPS II1
PK-355
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KuPS-
Karhu-Futis1
Leki6
SalPa 20
VPS11
TPS 21
MaPS4
VaKP0
Abo IFK6
Toukolan Teras0
Valtti1
FC SUMU / SOB2
EPS3
FC Kangasala1
EIF Academy2
Lasten0
Haka3
VPV0
SJK Akatemia3
Santa Claus1
OLS Oulu9
Rollon Pojat3
KaPa 19242
VIFK4
KPV Kokkola5
Kajaanin Haka0
VPS 24
HAPK1
SJK6
NiemU0
PEPO1
Vaajakoski0
JJK Jyvaskyla1
Inter Turku-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
LappBK1
Lapuan Virkia Lapua8
Heinapaan Hanhet 240
JS Hercules10
MPS0
EBK7
POHU3
Gnistan0
VG-62 Naantali1
Narpes Kraft3
TPV0
Tampere Utd2
Kuopion Elo0
Huima / Urho10
Lahden Reipas1
KuPS Akatemia2
POHU/Hurjin0
Atlantis8
LePa1
Honka4
FC Futura4
GrIFK1
JaPS Akatemia0
VJS7
HauPa2
GBK Kokkola3
AC Oulu1
Jaro2
Ylivieska2
JBK1
FC Kiisto Vaasa1
RoPS Rovaniemi2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
HJK-
VJS 24
LoPa1
Keski-Uusimaa2
KaPa3
PoPo2
PK-371
KoPa0
MyPa5
AC Estudiantes0
PIF Pargas4
TPV 20
Pallo-Iirot1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ilves-
Fish United0
SalPa4
Ekenas IF1
TPS2
Gilla FC2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)5
Ylojarvi United0
HJS7
HPS3
NJS0
Kiffen 30
Mariehamn5
Gnistan/M353
TiPS U212
Kiffen1
PuiU Helsinki2
KyPa0
Union Plaani4
KTP1
Lahti3
JIPPO II0
JPS Jyvaskyla2
Jippo1
Mikkelin2
1/32-finals
Jokerit FC0
HIFK5
Toolon Taisto1
JaPS9
Stapa de Royale1
PK-358
TBD-
KuPS-
Leki1
VPS9
MaPS0
Abo IFK1
Valtti0
EPS2
EIF Academy0
Haka7
SJK Akatemia2
OLS Oulu1
Rollon Pojat0
KPV Kokkola4
VPS 21
SJK6
PEPO2
JJK Jyvaskyla1
Inter Turku-
TBD-
Lapuan Virkia Lapua1
JS Hercules4
EBK5
POHU4
Narpes Kraft0
Tampere Utd6
Huima / Urho0
KuPS Akatemia4
Atlantis3
Honka4
FC Futura2
VJS3
GBK Kokkola0
Jaro2
Ylivieska0
RoPS Rovaniemi1
TBD-
HJK-
VJS 21
KaPa3
PoPo1
MyPa4
PIF Pargas0
Pallo-Iirot2
TBD-
Ilves-
SalPa1
TPS2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)0
HJS1
HPS1
Mariehamn2
Gnistan/M351
PuiU Helsinki2
Union Plaani2
Lahti4
JPS Jyvaskyla3
Mikkelin5
1/16-finals
HIFK1
JaPS3
PK-350
KuPS2
VPS7
Abo IFK0
EPS0
Haka4
SJK Akatemia2
KPV Kokkola0
SJK3
PEPO0
Inter Turku8
JS Hercules0
EBK3
Tampere Utd2
KuPS Akatemia0
Honka1
VJS5
Jaro3
RoPS Rovaniemi0
HJK4
KaPa1
MyPa2
Pallo-Iirot0
Ilves4
TPS3
HJS0
Mariehamn3
PuiU Helsinki0
Lahti3
Mikkelin1
1/8-finals
JaPS0
KuPS1
VPS4
Haka0
SJK Akatemia0
SJK5
Inter Turku2
EBK1
Honka5
VJS1
HJK11
MyPa1
Ilves1
TPS0
Mariehamn0
Lahti1
Quarter-finals
KuPS0
VPS1
SJK1
Inter Turku2
Honka1
HJK7
Ilves5
Lahti2
Semi-finals
VPS2
Inter Turku3
HJK2
Ilves1
Final
Inter Turku-
HJK-