Sport Picks

Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Tammelan Stadion

Aland United W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ilves W play Aland United W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ilves W averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Aland United W averaged 2.39 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Ilves W won 0, Aland United W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Ilves W and 2.31 for Aland United W. This points to a Ilves W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Ilves W

15%

Draws

42%

Aland United W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ilves W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Ilves W picked up more points recently compared to Aland United W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 2.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%

Aland United W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ilves W	Aland United W
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	16	16
Draws	2	2
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.9	2.39
Goals Conceded	1.53	1.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women

Ilves W vs Aland United W

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Jun 17, 2026 Suomen Cup Women

Aland United W vs Ilves W

Possession: 48% - 60% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

May 3, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women

Aland United W vs Ilves W

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 4 - 2

4:1

Aug 20, 2025 Suomen Cup Women

Ilves W vs Aland United W

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 2 - 4

2:5

Jul 7, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women

Ilves W vs Aland United W

Possession: 45% - 40% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Aland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hordijk C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Vetter J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.73

Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves W 41 / 100

Aland United W 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ilves W Aland United W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ilves W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ilves W attacking → ← attacking Aland United W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Aland United W let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Ilves W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Aland United W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 50

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 3.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	HJK W	11	10	0	1	33:9	30
2	KuPS W	11	8	1	2	27:14	25
3	HPS W	11	7	2	2	17:8	23
4	Aland United W	11	6	1	4	28:16	19
5	Ilves W	11	5	0	6	19:21	15
6	Gnistan W	11	4	0	7	19:28	12
7	PK-35 Vantaa W	11	2	0	9	11:29	6
8	VIFK Vaasa W	11	0	0	11	5:34	0