Sport Picks

Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women 2025 Tammelan Stadion

Ilves W

4 - 0

HJK Akatemia W

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Ljesnjanin A.

38'

Lahteenmaki L.

39'

Luotonen A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women 2025 game between Ilves W and HJK Akatemia W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ilves W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Ilves W

39%

Draws

30%

HJK Akatemia W

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Ilves W carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Ilves W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Ilves W Clean Sheet 14%

HJK Akatemia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ilves W	HJK Akatemia W
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	15	10
Draws	1	5
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	1.5	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women

HJK Akatemia W vs Ilves W

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

1:4

Sep 13, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women

Ilves W vs HJK Akatemia W

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 1 - 0

4:0

Aug 2, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women

HJK Akatemia W vs Ilves W

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

May 24, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women

Ilves W vs HJK Akatemia W

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 4 - 4

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Luotonen A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Ljesnjanin A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

HJK Akatemia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves W 31 / 100

HJK Akatemia W 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ilves W HJK Akatemia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves W scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

HJK Akatemia W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Ilves W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilves W VS HJK Akatemia W

1.5 Goals Scored 2.13

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ilves W	10	7	1	2	24:9	25
2	PK-35 Helsinki W	10	7	2	1	19:9	25
3	EBK W	10	5	1	4	16:15	17
4	JyPK W	10	3	1	6	13:21	13
5	KTP W	10	2	3	5	12:17	11
6	HJK Akatemia W	10	1	2	7	9:22	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ilves W	10	7	1	2	24:9	25
2	PK-35 Helsinki W	10	7	2	1	19:9	25
3	EBK W	10	5	1	4	16:15	17
4	JyPK W	10	3	1	6	13:21	13
5	KTP W	10	2	3	5	12:17	11
6	HJK Akatemia W	10	1	2	7	9:22	5