Sport Picks

Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Tammelan Stadion

HJK W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ilves W play HJK W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ilves W averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. HJK W averaged 3.13 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Ilves W won 0, HJK W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Ilves W and 2.44 for HJK W. This points to a HJK W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Ilves W

15%

Draws

51%

HJK W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HJK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Ilves W picked up more points recently compared to HJK W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 2.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 76%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%

HJK W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ilves W	HJK W
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	17	25
Draws	2	2
Losses	11	4
Goals Scored	2.1	3.13
Goals Conceded	1.47	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women

Ilves W vs HJK W

Possession: 57% - 47% Cards: 4 - 2

1:3

Apr 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women

HJK W vs Ilves W

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 4 - 0

2:1

Jul 31, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women

Ilves W vs HJK W

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

May 12, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women

HJK W vs Ilves W

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Jul 29, 2023 Kansallinen Liiga Women

Ilves W vs HJK W

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

HJK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Forsten A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sarelius K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 3.18

Avg xA / game 1.94

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves W 33 / 100

HJK W 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ilves W HJK W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: HJK W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.43

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ilves W attacking → ← attacking HJK W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

HJK W let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ilves W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

HJK W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 77

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.50

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	HJK W	11	10	0	1	33:9	30
2	KuPS W	11	8	1	2	27:14	25
3	HPS W	11	7	2	2	17:8	23
4	Aland United W	11	6	1	4	28:16	19
5	Ilves W	11	5	0	6	19:21	15
6	Gnistan W	11	4	0	7	19:28	12
7	PK-35 Vantaa W	11	2	0	9	11:29	6
8	VIFK Vaasa W	11	0	0	11	5:34	0