Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilves W vs HJK W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Ilves W Logo

Ilves W

1 - 3
FT
HJK W Logo

HJK W

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Own Goal
28' Event
Forsten A.
42' Event
Sarelius K.
Assist: Kamogawa M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HJK W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored HJK W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ilves W
15%
Draws
85%
HJK W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HJK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • HJK W have won more games recently than Ilves W.
  • Win probability leans HJK W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors HJK W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%
HJK W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves W HJK W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 24
Draws 1 3
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.86 2.73
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HJK W
2:5
Jun 27, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HJK W
1:3
Apr 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs Ilves W
2:1
Jul 31, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HJK W
1:2
May 12, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs Ilves W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

HJK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Forsten A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarelius K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves W 10 / 100
HJK W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves W HJK W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

HJK W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

HJK W's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ilves W VS HJK W
1 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves W

(Home)
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
22 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 1
Ilves W
15 Aug
Ilves W
1 : 2
Gnistan W
08 Aug
Aland United W
3 : 0
Ilves W
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HJK W

(Away)
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
21 Aug
HPS W
3 : 3
HJK W
17 Aug
HJK W
0 : 1
KuPS W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)