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Ilves W vs HPS W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Ilves W Logo

Ilves W

Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
HPS W Logo

HPS W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ilves W host HPS W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Ilves W have averaged 1.9 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against HPS W's 1.86 scored and 1.24 conceded. Head-to-head, Ilves W have won 2 to HPS W's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.69 - 2.00) back HPS W to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ilves W
20%
Draws
57%
HPS W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HPS W come out ahead of Ilves W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%
HPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves W HPS W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 2 5
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.9 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Ilves W
1:0
Jul 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Ilves W
1:2
May 22, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HPS W
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Ilves W
1:0
Jun 9, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HPS W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves W 30 / 100
HPS W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves W HPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HPS W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ilves W scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: HPS W conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ilves W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilves W VS HPS W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves W

(Home)
03 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 3
KuPS W
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
Page 1 of 6

HPS W

(Away)
04 Oct
HJK W
2 : 3
HPS W
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 22 18 1 3 62:21 55
2 Aland United W 22 14 1 7 56:30 43
3 KuPS W 22 13 3 6 43:29 42
4 HPS W 22 12 5 5 34:25 41
5 Ilves W 22 8 2 12 39:45 26
6 Gnistan W 22 5 1 16 29:56 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)