Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilves W vs KuPS W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Ilves W Logo

Ilves W

2 - 3
FT
KuPS W Logo

KuPS W

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Olmala A.
Assist: Pulkkinen E.
17'
Olmala H.
43' Event
Leiwo S.
Assist: Kroger A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between Ilves W and KuPS W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KuPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ilves W
15%
Draws
85%
KuPS W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KuPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KuPS W come out ahead of Ilves W on wins alone.
  • Model gives KuPS W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 13%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves W KuPS W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 1 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.9 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Ilves W
2:1
Jul 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Ilves W
2:4
May 9, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs KuPS W
2:3
Jul 30, 2025 Suomen Cup Women
Ilves W vs KuPS W
4:3
Aug 17, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Ilves W
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Olmala A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

KuPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leiwo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Spenazzatto L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves W 10 / 100
KuPS W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves W KuPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KuPS W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: KuPS W conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ilves W VS KuPS W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves W

(Home)
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
22 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 1
Ilves W
15 Aug
Ilves W
1 : 2
Gnistan W
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KuPS W

(Away)
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
22 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 1
Ilves W
17 Aug
HJK W
0 : 1
KuPS W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)