Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Imabari vs Ryukyu

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Arigato Service Dream, Imabari
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Maruyama Y.
44'
Iwamoto S.
61' Event
Ihori K.
Assist: Sota K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Imabari
15%
Draws
59%
Ryukyu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ryukyu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Imabari haven't matched Ryukyu's recent run of results.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Ryukyu arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ryukyu, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Imabari Clean Sheet 13%
Ryukyu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imabari Ryukyu
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 1 1
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 J2/J3 League
Imabari vs Ryukyu
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 J3 League
Imabari vs Ryukyu
2:1
Jun 8, 2024 J3 League
Ryukyu vs Imabari
1:0
Oct 21, 2023 J3 League
Ryukyu vs Imabari
1:3
Mar 19, 2023 J3 League
Imabari vs Ryukyu
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imabari Compare

Top Goalscorer Maruyama Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ryukyu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ihori K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suzuki J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imabari 35 / 100
Ryukyu 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imabari Ryukyu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ryukyu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ryukyu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Imabari scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Imabari has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Imabari VS Ryukyu
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Imabari

(Home)
19 Sept
Yokohama FC
2 : 1
Imabari
12 Sept
Imabari
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
06 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1
Imabari
02 Sept
Kanazawa
2 : 1
Imabari
29 Aug
Imabari
0 : 3
Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 6

Ryukyu

(Away)
13 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 0
Kamatamare Sanuki
09 Sept
Ryukyu
3 : 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
05 Sept
Kagoshima United
2 : 1
Ryukyu
02 Sept
Ryukyu
2 : 3
Yokohama FC
29 Aug
Ryukyu
2 : 1
SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Blaublitz 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0
Gifu 1
Kanazawa 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Tochigi SC 0
Nagano Parceiro 1
Tokushima 3
Sagan Tosu 1
Shonan Bellmare 1
Iwaki 2
Yokohama FC 2
Omiya Ardija 1
Kochi United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 3
Montedio Yamagata 1
Matsumoto Yamaga 2
Nara Club 4
Oita Trinita 3
SC Sagamihara 4
Fujieda MYFC 3
Ehime 0
Kumamoto 1
Vanraure 0
Fukushima United 1
Imabari 1
Ryukyu 2
Tochigi City 4
Iwata 3
FC Osaka 0
Reilac Shiga 1
Final
Blaublitz 0
Kagoshima United 2
Gifu 1
Gainare Tottori 2
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Nagano Parceiro 1
Tokushima 2
Iwaki 0
Yokohama FC 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Matsumoto Yamaga 0
Nara Club 2
SC Sagamihara 3
Kumamoto 0
Fukushima United 2
Ryukyu 1
Tochigi City 3
Reilac Shiga 1