Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Nagasawa S.
60'
60'
Sub
Junio E. In: Furuyama K.
Out: Junio E.
60'
60'
Sub
Palocevic A. In: Mori K.
Out: Palocevic A.
AI Match Summary
Imabari in this J2 League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Imabari.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sagan Tosu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sagan Tosu have won more games recently than Imabari.
- Sagan Tosu are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Imabari have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Imabari Clean Sheet 10%
Sagan Tosu Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Imabari | Sagan Tosu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 19 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 J2 League
Imabari vs Sagan Tosu
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 J2 League
Imabari vs Sagan Tosu
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 J2 League
Sagan Tosu vs Imabari
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Imabari Compare
Top Goalscorer Mori K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Sagan Tosu Compare
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Imabari 26 / 100
Sagan Tosu 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Imabari Sagan Tosu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sagan Tosu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Imabari scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Solid form: Imabari remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Sagan Tosu let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Imabari VS Sagan Tosu
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Imabari
(Home) 12 Sept
Imabari
1 : 0 Sagan Tosu
06 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1 Imabari
02 Sept
Kanazawa
2 : 1 Imabari
29 Aug
Imabari
0 : 3 Montedio Yamagata
26 Aug
Imabari
4 : 1 Blaublitz
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Imabari
1 : 0 Sagan Tosu
29 Aug
Imabari
0 : 3 Montedio Yamagata
26 Aug
Imabari
4 : 1 Blaublitz
15 Aug
Imabari
2 : 3 Omiya Ardija
31 May
Imabari
1 : 2 Ryukyu
Page 1 of 3
Sagan Tosu
(Away) 12 Sept
Imabari
1 : 0 Sagan Tosu
05 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
02 Sept
Nara Club
1 : 2 Sagan Tosu
29 Aug
Yokohama FC
2 : 2 Sagan Tosu
26 Aug
Sagan Tosu
4 : 0 Toyama
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Imabari
1 : 0 Sagan Tosu
02 Sept
Nara Club
1 : 2 Sagan Tosu
29 Aug
Yokohama FC
2 : 2 Sagan Tosu
16 Aug
Tokushima
0 : 0 Sagan Tosu
30 May
Tokushima
3 : 1 Sagan Tosu
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albirex Niigata | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Toyama | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Yokohama FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Shonan Bellmare | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Vegalta Sendai | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Iwata | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Tokushima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | 10 |
| 11 | Montedio Yamagata | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 12 | Blaublitz | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Iwaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:13 | 9 |
| 14 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 15 | Sagan Tosu | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 16 | Oita Trinita | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 17 | Kofu | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | 7 |
| 18 | Vanraure | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | 5 |
| 20 | Imabari | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 4 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
