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Imabari vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction & H2H Stats

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J2 League Arigato Service Dream, Imabari
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Match Events

21' Event
Junio E.
Assist: Kikuchi K.
35'
Kondo T.
39'
Sub
Kase N. In: Onose K.
Out: Kase N.

AI Match Summary

The J2 League game between Imabari and Shonan Bellmare finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shonan Bellmare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Imabari
20%
Draws
51%
Shonan Bellmare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shonan Bellmare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Imabari haven't matched Shonan Bellmare's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Shonan Bellmare a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Imabari Clean Sheet 13%
Shonan Bellmare Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imabari Shonan Bellmare
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 15
Draws 1 3
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 J2 League
Imabari vs Shonan Bellmare
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imabari Compare

Top Goalscorer Junio E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Shonan Bellmare Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamada H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imabari 22 / 100
Shonan Bellmare 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imabari Shonan Bellmare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shonan Bellmare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imabari's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Shonan Bellmare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Imabari has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Imabari VS Shonan Bellmare
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Imabari

(Home)
26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2
Shonan Bellmare
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0
Imabari
19 Sept
Yokohama FC
2 : 1
Imabari
12 Sept
Imabari
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
06 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1
Imabari
Page 1 of 6

Shonan Bellmare

(Away)
26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2
Shonan Bellmare
19 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1
Blaublitz
12 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
09 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
4 : 3
Shonan Bellmare
05 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
2 Omiya Ardija 8 4 4 0 16:7 16
3 Albirex Niigata 8 5 1 2 11:12 16
4 Shonan Bellmare 8 4 3 1 9:7 15
5 Toyama 8 4 2 2 16:8 14
6 Yokohama FC 8 4 2 2 16:11 14
7 Tokushima 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
8 Montedio Yamagata 8 4 0 4 10:6 12
9 Fujieda MYFC 8 3 3 2 12:9 12
10 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 8 3 2 3 12:12 11
11 Tochigi City 8 3 1 4 14:13 10
12 Blaublitz 8 2 4 2 11:10 10
13 Iwata 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
14 Vanraure 8 3 1 4 5:12 10
15 Iwaki 8 3 0 5 11:15 9
16 Oita Trinita 8 1 5 2 7:6 8
17 Sagan Tosu 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
18 Kofu 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
19 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 8 1 2 5 10:17 5
20 Imabari 8 1 1 6 7:17 4
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)