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Imbabura vs America de Quito

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Pantoja L.
31' Event
Mendoza E.
45' Event
Godoy Quinones J. A.

AI Match Summary

Imbabura host America de Quito in the Serie B 2023. This one's hard to separate. America de Quito have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Imbabura have conceded 1.5 and scored 0.63. Head-to-head, Imbabura have won 3 to America de Quito's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 14, 2023, ending 5:2. xG projections (0.92 - 1.25) back Imbabura to edge this. Imbabura in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Imbabura
28%
Draws
50%
America de Quito
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: America de Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Imbabura has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to America de Quito.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for America de Quito.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie B 2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Imbabura Clean Sheet 19%
America de Quito Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imbabura America de Quito
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2023 Serie B
Imbabura vs America de Quito
5:2
Jul 26, 2023 Serie B
America de Quito vs Imbabura
1:2
Jun 22, 2023 Serie B
Imbabura vs America de Quito
2:1
Apr 26, 2023 Serie B
America de Quito vs Imbabura
2:2
Sep 30, 2022 Serie B
America de Quito vs Imbabura
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imbabura Compare

Top Goalscorer Pantoja L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendoza E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

America de Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Godoy Quinones J. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hoyos K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imbabura 24 / 100
America de Quito 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imbabura America de Quito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imbabura scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

America de Quito let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Imbabura went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

America de Quito lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Imbabura VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara361810847:3464
2Imbabura361513858:4358
3Vinotinto361413954:3955
4Manta3614101239:3752
5Independiente Juniors3613121140:4051
6Nueve de Octubre361281648:4844
7Vargas Torres3610141227:3444
8Chacaritas361271744:4743
9America de Quito3611101546:5843
10Buhos ULVR365151630:5330