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Imbabura vs Deportivo Quevedo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Imbabura play Deportivo Quevedo in the Serie B 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Imbabura averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Deportivo Quevedo averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Imbabura won 3, Deportivo Quevedo won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 26, 2015 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Imbabura and 1.25 for Deportivo Quevedo. This points to a Imbabura double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Imbabura
24%
Draws
35%
Deportivo Quevedo
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Imbabura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Imbabura picked up more points recently compared to Deportivo Quevedo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Imbabura Clean Sheet 19%
Deportivo Quevedo Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imbabura Deportivo Quevedo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.16 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2015 Serie B
Imbabura vs Deportivo Quevedo
2:0
Sep 20, 2015 Serie B
Deportivo Quevedo vs Imbabura
1:0
May 9, 2015 Serie B
Imbabura vs Deportivo Quevedo
2:0
May 3, 2015 Serie B
Deportivo Quevedo vs Imbabura
0:0
Nov 5, 2014 Serie B
Imbabura vs Deportivo Quevedo
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imbabura 41 / 100
Deportivo Quevedo 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imbabura Deportivo Quevedo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Imbabura or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Imbabura attacking → ← attacking Deportivo Quevedo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imbabura scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Deportivo Quevedo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Imbabura went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Quevedo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 32
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aucas442411964:3383
2Guayaquil City4422121062:4578
3Tecnico U.442381370:4277
4LDU Portoviejo442291367:4875
5Macara4417111649:4162
6Deportivo Quevedo4416111752:6259
7Dep. Azogues4413171446:4756
8Delfin4415101943:4955
9Espoli4412151750:5650
10Imbabura4412122040:5848
11Univ. Cotopaxi441392257:7748
12Deportivo Municipal447112641:8332