Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Imbabura vs Univ. Cotopaxi

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Imbabura play Univ. Cotopaxi in the Serie B 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Imbabura averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Univ. Cotopaxi averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. In past meetings, Imbabura won 3, Univ. Cotopaxi won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 1, 2014 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Imbabura and 1.25 for Univ. Cotopaxi. This points to a Imbabura double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Imbabura
23%
Draws
33%
Univ. Cotopaxi
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Imbabura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Imbabura picked up more points recently compared to Univ. Cotopaxi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Imbabura Clean Sheet 19%
Univ. Cotopaxi Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imbabura Univ. Cotopaxi
Matches Played 48 36
Wins 20 13
Draws 12 8
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.58

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2014 Serie B
Univ. Cotopaxi vs Imbabura
3:2
Aug 23, 2014 Serie B
Imbabura vs Univ. Cotopaxi
2:1
Jun 14, 2014 Serie B
Univ. Cotopaxi vs Imbabura
2:2
Mar 29, 2014 Serie B
Imbabura vs Univ. Cotopaxi
2:0
Nov 23, 2013 Serie B
Imbabura vs Univ. Cotopaxi
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imbabura 43 / 100
Univ. Cotopaxi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imbabura Univ. Cotopaxi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Imbabura or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Imbabura attacking → ← attacking Univ. Cotopaxi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imbabura scored in 79% of their last 48 games.

Univ. Cotopaxi let in goals in 83% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Imbabura went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Univ. Cotopaxi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

72 Points in last 5 47
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olmedo442951076:4392
2Mushuc Runa442491152:4481
3Imbabura4421111263:4774
4Aucas442161769:5369
5Guayaquil City4418141257:4368
6Tecnico U.4417141360:5365
7Deportivo Municipal441682048:6056
8Espoli4413102144:5549
9Univ. Cotopaxi441392248:5748
10Dep. Azogues4411132049:7046
11CSCD Grecia4411122144:6445
12Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios448132347:6837