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Imisli FK vs Kapaz 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Karimov C.
25' Event
Yaqubov T.
(Penalty)
30'
Khalilli E.

AI Match Summary

Kapaz 2 in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kapaz 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Imisli FK
15%
Draws
57%
Kapaz 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kapaz 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Imisli FK haven't matched Kapaz 2's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 18%
Kapaz 2 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imisli FK Kapaz 2
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 5 13
Draws 11 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.66 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2023 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Kapaz 2
1:2
Nov 30, 2022 I Liqa
Kapaz 2 vs Imisli FK
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imisli FK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Kapaz 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Karimov C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imisli FK 36 / 100
Kapaz 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imisli FK Kapaz 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kapaz 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kapaz 2 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Kapaz 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Imisli FK's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Imisli FK VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Imisli FK

(Home)
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3
Neftci Baku
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1
Imisli FK
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
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Kapaz 2

(Away)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
03 May
Imisli FK
1 : 2
Kapaz 2
17 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 0
Kapaz 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)