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Imisli FK vs Karvan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Quba OIK stadionu
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Kings P.
46'
Sub
Huseynov N. In: Viegas R.
Out: Huseynov N.
62'
Sub
Kings P. In: Thompson G.
Out: Kings P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Imisli FK
28%
Draws
22%
Karvan
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Imisli FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Imisli FK lately — more wins on the board than Karvan.
  • Model gives Imisli FK a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 68%
Karvan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imisli FK Karvan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 3
Draws 12 5
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Karvan
1:1
Dec 15, 2025 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Karvan
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Premier League
Karvan vs Imisli FK
0:3
Apr 11, 2025 I Liqa
Karvan vs Imisli FK
1:1
Feb 6, 2025 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Karvan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imisli FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardoso D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Karvan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kings P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imisli FK 59 / 100
Karvan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imisli FK Karvan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IMI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Karvan conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Imisli FK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Karvan has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Imisli FK VS Karvan
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sabah Baku33246375:2578
2Qarabag Agdam33216671:2769
3Turan33178844:2759
4Neftci Baku331611657:3259
5Zira FK331314643:3653
6Araz PFK331371344:5846
7SumQayit FK331251645:4941
8Shamakhi339111331:4038
9Imisli FK337131323:4334
10Kapaz33832225:6127
11Gabala33762032:4927
12Karvan33362423:6615