Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Imisli FK vs Karvan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Quba OIK stadionu, Quba
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Kings P.
46'
Sub
Huseynov N. In: Viegas R.
Out: Huseynov N.
62'
Sub
Kings P. In: Thompson G.
Out: Kings P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Imisli FK
30%
Draws
31%
Karvan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Imisli FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Imisli FK lately — more wins on the board than Karvan.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 68%
Karvan Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imisli FK Karvan
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 4
Draws 11 5
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 0.57 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Karvan
1:1
Dec 15, 2025 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Karvan
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Premier League
Karvan vs Imisli FK
0:3
Apr 11, 2025 I Liqa
Karvan vs Imisli FK
1:1
Feb 6, 2025 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Karvan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imisli FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardoso D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Karvan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kings P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imisli FK 41 / 100
Karvan 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imisli FK Karvan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imisli FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Karvan conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Imisli FK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Karvan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Imisli FK VS Karvan
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Imisli FK

(Home)
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
15 Aug
Araz PFK
0 : 0
Imisli FK
24 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Karvan
16 May
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 0
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 6

Karvan

(Away)
03 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 3
Karvan
24 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Karvan
15 May
Karvan
1 : 2
Gabala
10 May
Turan
1 : 0
Karvan
05 May
Karvan
0 : 3
Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 33 24 6 3 75:25 78
2 Qarabag Agdam 33 21 6 6 71:27 69
3 Turan 33 17 8 8 44:27 59
4 Neftci Baku 33 16 11 6 57:32 59
5 Zira FK 33 13 14 6 43:36 53
6 Araz PFK 33 13 7 13 44:58 46
7 SumQayit FK 33 12 5 16 45:49 41
8 Shamakhi 33 9 11 13 31:40 38
9 Imisli FK 33 7 13 13 23:43 34
10 Kapaz 33 8 3 22 25:61 27
11 Gabala 33 7 6 20 32:49 27
12 Karvan 33 3 6 24 23:66 15
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)