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Stadium Background

Imisli FK vs Lokbatan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Imisli FK at 0.81 goals for, 1.34 against; Lokbatan at 1.14 for, 1.66 against. Past meetings favor Imisli FK slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 28, 2025, ending 2:3. xG projections (0.75 - 1.00) back Imisli FK to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Imisli FK
15%
Draws
21%
Lokbatan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Imisli FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Imisli FK have won more games recently than Lokbatan.
  • Imisli FK are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Imisli FK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Imisli FK, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Imisli FK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 20%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imisli FK Lokbatan
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.81 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup
Lokbatan vs Imisli FK
2:3
May 2, 2025 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Lokbatan
3:1
Feb 28, 2025 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Imisli FK
0:1
Nov 27, 2024 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Lokbatan
2:1
May 9, 2024 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Lokbatan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imisli FK 40 / 100
Lokbatan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imisli FK Lokbatan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imisli FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lokbatan conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Lokbatan has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Imisli FK found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Imisli FK VS Lokbatan
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Imisli FK

(Home)
18 Oct
Imisli FK
1 : 0
Turan
11 Oct
Imisli FK
0 : 2
Qarabag Agdam
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3
Neftci Baku
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 7

Lokbatan

(Away)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Shimal -
Araz PFK -
Marafon -
Zaqatala PFK -
Imisli FK -
Lokbatan -
Kur-Araz -
SumQayit FK -
Gabala -
Mingachevir -
MOIK Baku -
Sahdag Qusar -
FC Khankendi -
Gancabasar -
Hypers Guba -
Shamakhi -
Safa Baku -
Agstafa Gencleri -
Zangazur (Am) -
Karvan -
Sabail -
Zira FK -
Kapaz -
Baku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -