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Imisli FK vs Neftci Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Yevlakh City Stadium, Yevlakh
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Vargas F.
28' Event
Breno Almeida
29' Event
Hasanalizada B.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Imisli FK and Neftci Baku finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neftci Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Imisli FK
15%
Draws
65%
Neftci Baku
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neftci Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Neftci Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Neftci Baku a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 15%
Neftci Baku Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imisli FK Neftci Baku
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 19
Draws 11 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.61 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Neftci Baku
2:3
Mar 20, 2026 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Imisli FK
6:0
Nov 23, 2025 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Imisli FK
2:3
Aug 22, 2025 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Neftci Baku
0:0
Mar 17, 2007 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Imisli FK
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imisli FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Hasanalizada B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Neftci Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Breno Almeida
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imisli FK 10 / 100
Neftci Baku 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imisli FK Neftci Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neftci Baku Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Neftci Baku's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Imisli FK scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Imisli FK went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Imisli FK VS Neftci Baku
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Imisli FK

(Home)
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3
Neftci Baku
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1
Imisli FK
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
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Neftci Baku

(Away)
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0
Sabah Baku
18 Sept
Gabala
0 : 3
Neftci Baku
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3
Neftci Baku
05 Sept
Neftci Baku
4 : 1
Safa Baku
30 Aug
Zira FK
1 : 0
Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Sabah Baku 6 5 1 0 14:1 16
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
6 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
7 Shamakhi 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
8 SumQayit FK 6 1 2 3 8:9 5
9 Gabala 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
11 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
12 Araz PFK 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)