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Imisli FK vs Qarabag Agdam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Imisli FK host Qarabag Agdam in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Qarabag Agdam have shipped 1.05 goals a game lately, while Imisli FK have conceded 1.52 and scored 0.69. Past meetings favor Qarabag Agdam slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.62 xG vs 1.35) point toward Qarabag Agdam. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Imisli FK
15%
Draws
65%
Qarabag Agdam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Qarabag Agdam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Imisli FK haven't matched Qarabag Agdam's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Qarabag Agdam's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Qarabag Agdam have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 18%
Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imisli FK Qarabag Agdam
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 5 22
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.69 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 0.62 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premier League
Qarabag Agdam vs Imisli FK
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Qarabag Agdam
0:1
Oct 31, 2025 Premier League
Qarabag Agdam vs Imisli FK
2:0
May 22, 2007 Premier League
Qarabag Agdam vs Imisli FK
1:0
Dec 7, 2006 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Qarabag Agdam
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imisli FK 28 / 100
Qarabag Agdam 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imisli FK Qarabag Agdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qarabag Agdam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qarabag Agdam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 38 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Imisli FK scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Imisli FK has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Imisli FK VS Qarabag Agdam
0.86 Goals Scored 1.13
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.38
57% Over 1.5 38%
57% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Imisli FK

(Home)
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3
Neftci Baku
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1
Imisli FK
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 6

Qarabag Agdam

(Away)
18 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 0
Safa Baku
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2
Araz PFK
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
27 Aug
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 4
Twente
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 6 5 0 1 18:5 15
2 Sabah Baku 5 5 0 0 14:1 15
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
6 Shamakhi 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
7 Kapaz 5 2 1 2 4:7 7
8 Gabala 6 1 1 4 2:7 4
9 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
10 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
11 SumQayit FK 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
12 Araz PFK 6 0 2 4 5:13 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)