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Stadium Background

Imisli FK vs Sabah Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup
Wed, Dec 3, 2025
1 - 2
10:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Mickels J.
89' Event
Aliyev I.
(Penalty)
96' Event
Parris K.

AI Match Summary

The Azerbaijan Cup game between Imisli FK and Sabah Baku finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sabah Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Imisli FK
44%
Draws
20%
Sabah Baku
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sabah Baku come out ahead of Imisli FK on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sabah Baku have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 19%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imisli FK Sabah Baku
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 26
Draws 12 8
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 0.57 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.57 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.86 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Sabah Baku
0:5
Dec 3, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup
Imisli FK vs Sabah Baku
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Sabah Baku
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Imisli FK
0:1
May 11, 2018 I Liqa
Sabah Baku vs Imisli FK
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imisli FK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.44
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Mickels J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parris K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imisli FK 36 / 100
Sabah Baku 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imisli FK Sabah Baku

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Sabah Baku conceded in 65% of 37 recent games.

Imisli FK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Imisli FK found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Imisli FK VS Sabah Baku
0.57 Goals Scored 1.63
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.75
43% Over 1.5 75%
14% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sabail0
Shamakhi1
Goygol0
Baku Sporting2
Qarabag Agdam-
TBD-
Karvan3
Sheki City1
Lokbatan2
Imisli FK3
TBD-
Sabah Baku-
Gabala5
Mingachevir1
Cebrayil0
Safa Baku3
Shimal0
Sahdag Qusar2
Dinamo Baki0
Turan5
Araz PFK-
TBD-
Kapaz6
Agstafa Gencleri1
FC Khankendi1
Difai Agsu2
Zaqatala PFK0
SumQayit FK3
Zira FK-
TBD-
Neftci Baku6
MOIK Baku2
1/8-finals
Shamakhi1
Baku Sporting0
Qarabag Agdam3
Karvan0
Imisli FK1
Sabah Baku2
Gabala2
Safa Baku1
Sahdag Qusar1
Turan2
Araz PFK0
Kapaz1
Difai Agsu1
SumQayit FK3
Zira FK1
Neftci Baku0
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi3
Qarabag Agdam4
Sabah Baku4
Gabala3
Turan3
Kapaz0
SumQayit FK0
Zira FK2
Semi-finals
Qarabag Agdam3
Sabah Baku4
Turan0
Zira FK2
Final
Sabah Baku2
Zira FK1