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Imisli FK vs Shamakhi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Imisli FK host Shamakhi in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Shamakhi have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Imisli FK have conceded 1.5 and scored 0.61. Head-to-head, Imisli FK have won 0 to Shamakhi's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.69, favoring Shamakhi. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Imisli FK
30%
Draws
52%
Shamakhi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shamakhi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Imisli FK haven't matched Shamakhi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Shamakhi's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 13%
Shamakhi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imisli FK Shamakhi
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.61 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Shamakhi vs Imisli FK
0:0
Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Shamakhi
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Premier League
Shamakhi vs Imisli FK
1:0
Mar 29, 2024 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Shamakhi
0:0
Dec 14, 2023 I Liqa
Shamakhi vs Imisli FK
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imisli FK 19 / 100
Shamakhi 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imisli FK Shamakhi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamakhi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shamakhi conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Imisli FK scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 0.20 goals when they meet.

Imisli FK went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Imisli FK VS Shamakhi
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Imisli FK

(Home)
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3
Neftci Baku
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1
Imisli FK
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 6

Shamakhi

(Away)
10 Oct
Zira FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
20 Sept
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Araz PFK
12 Sept
SumQayit FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
29 Aug
Gabala
0 : 0
Shamakhi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Sabah Baku 6 5 1 0 14:1 16
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
6 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
7 Shamakhi 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
8 SumQayit FK 6 1 2 3 8:9 5
9 Gabala 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
11 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
12 Araz PFK 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)