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Imolese vs Crema

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Tandara M.
73' Event
Manzoni G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Imolese and Crema finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imolese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Imolese
20%
Draws
40%
Crema
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Crema's 0.97 goals per match outpaces what Imolese have produced (0.87).
  • Model gives Imolese a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Imolese Clean Sheet 68%
Crema Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imolese Crema
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.87 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Crema
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Imolese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imolese Compare

Top Goalscorer Tandara M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manzoni G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Crema Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imolese 50 / 100
Crema 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imolese Crema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imolese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Crema conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Crema has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Imolese found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Imolese VS Crema
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Imolese

(Home)
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0
Imolese
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Crema

(Away)
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Crema
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
03 May
Piacenza
3 : 1
Crema
26 Apr
Crema
0 : 0
Correggese
19 Apr
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 1
Crema
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)