Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Imolese vs Ribelle

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 Stadio Romeo Galli, Imola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 game between Imolese and Ribelle finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imolese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Imolese
35%
Draws
32%
Ribelle
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Imolese come out ahead of Ribelle on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Imolese Clean Sheet 16%
Ribelle Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imolese Ribelle
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 13
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.94 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Ribelle
3:2
Sep 25, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Imolese
1:1
Apr 24, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Ribelle
2:1
Dec 6, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Imolese
1:0
Apr 26, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Ribelle
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imolese 30 / 100
Ribelle 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imolese Ribelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imolese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ribelle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Imolese scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Imolese stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Imolese VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Imolese

(Home)
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0
Imolese
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Ribelle

(Away)
21 May
Adriese
3 : 1
Ribelle
07 May
Scandicci
1 : 1
Ribelle
30 Apr
Ribelle
3 : 3
Ravenna
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1
Ribelle
13 Apr
Ribelle
1 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ravenna 34 17 14 3 52:26 65
2 Imolese 34 18 9 7 60:35 63
3 Delta Porto Tolle 34 17 10 7 57:37 61
4 Lentigione 34 16 10 8 40:31 58
5 Correggese 34 16 8 10 58:48 56
6 Castelvetro 34 15 5 14 60:57 50
7 Scandicci 34 13 7 14 45:55 46
8 Pianese 34 12 10 12 46:48 46
9 Mezzolara 34 11 12 11 44:46 45
10 Rignanese 34 11 11 12 34:35 44
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 11 12 50:48 44
12 Fiorenzuola 34 12 7 15 39:45 43
13 Colligiana 34 10 13 11 46:47 43
14 Adriese 34 11 6 17 46:51 39
15 Ribelle 34 8 15 11 45:46 38
16 Sangiovannese 34 10 7 17 42:51 37
17 Virtus Castelfranco 34 8 9 17 25:41 33
18 Poggibonsi 34 6 4 24 24:66 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)