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Imolese vs Rovato Vertovese Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Lisi V.

AI Match Summary

Imolese in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Imolese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Imolese
35%
Draws
28%
Rovato Vertovese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Imolese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Rovato Vertovese have won more games recently than Imolese.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Imolese Clean Sheet 68%
Rovato Vertovese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imolese Rovato Vertovese
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.07 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Rovato Vertovese
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Rovato Vertovese vs Imolese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imolese Compare

Top Goalscorer Lisi V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.54

Rovato Vertovese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imolese 41 / 100
Rovato Vertovese 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imolese Rovato Vertovese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imolese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rovato Vertovese has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Imolese's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Imolese stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Imolese VS Rovato Vertovese
1.14 Goals Scored 0.88
1.14 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Imolese

(Home)
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0
Imolese
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Rovato Vertovese

(Away)
27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2
Rovato Vertovese
20 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
AC Leon
16 Sept
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
12 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
3 : 4
Chievo
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)