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Imolese vs Zenith Prato

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Brandi N.
11' Event
Raffini S.
20' Event
Garavini M.

AI Match Summary

Imolese in this Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Imolese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Imolese
35%
Draws
39%
Zenith Prato
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zenith Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Zenith Prato have won more games recently than Imolese.
  • Win probability leans Imolese's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Imolese Clean Sheet 16%
Zenith Prato Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imolese Zenith Prato
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.49 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Zenith Prato
5:1
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Zenith Prato vs Imolese
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imolese Compare

Top Goalscorer Brandi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raffini S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Zenith Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer Saccenti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imolese 41 / 100
Zenith Prato 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imolese Zenith Prato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zenith Prato conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Imolese scored in 51% of their last 35 outings.

Solid form: Imolese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Imolese VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Imolese

(Home)
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0
Imolese
Page 1 of 7

Zenith Prato

(Away)
11 May
Zenith Prato
2 : 2
Piacenza
27 Apr
Imolese
5 : 1
Zenith Prato
17 Apr
Zenith Prato
1 : 1
Sasso Marconi
12 Apr
Pistoiese
0 : 1
Zenith Prato
06 Apr
Zenith Prato
0 : 0
Prato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forli FC 34 27 3 4 75:24 84
2 Ravenna 34 23 5 6 65:27 74
3 Lentigione 34 18 11 5 48:27 65
4 Tau 34 18 9 7 54:27 63
5 Pistoiese 34 18 7 9 45:23 61
6 Imolese 34 14 11 9 52:44 53
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 13 8 13 48:40 47
8 Piacenza 34 10 12 12 38:40 42
9 Prato 34 11 9 14 34:38 42
10 Tuttocuoio 34 10 12 12 32:43 42
11 SCD Progresso 34 10 11 13 24:32 41
12 San Marino Calcio 34 10 8 16 38:51 38
13 Sasso Marconi 34 9 10 15 39:51 37
14 Corticella 34 10 6 18 37:65 36
15 Sammaurese 34 7 10 17 27:37 31
16 Fiorenzuola 34 7 5 22 21:46 26
17 Zenith Prato 34 10 8 16 36:51 23
18 United Riccione 34 5 7 22 22:69 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)