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Imperia Calcio vs Celle Varazze - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Welbeck N.
61' Event
Welbeck N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Imperia Calcio and Celle Varazze finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imperia Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Imperia Calcio
30%
Draws
23%
Celle Varazze
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Imperia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celle Varazze come out ahead of Imperia Calcio on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Imperia Calcio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Celle Varazze Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imperia Calcio Celle Varazze
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 12 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Celle Varazze
2:0
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Celle Varazze
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Celle Varazze vs Imperia Calcio
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imperia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Welbeck N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Celle Varazze Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imperia Calcio 85 / 100
Celle Varazze 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imperia Calcio Celle Varazze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imperia Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Imperia Calcio scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Celle Varazze has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Imperia Calcio has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Imperia Calcio VS Celle Varazze
1.5 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Imperia Calcio

(Home)
01 Nov
Sanremese
0 : 0
Imperia Calcio
25 Oct
Imperia Calcio
2 : 0
Celle Varazze
18 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
4 : 2
Imperia Calcio
11 Oct
Imperia Calcio
2 : 1
AS Biellese
04 Oct
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Celle Varazze

(Away)
01 Nov
Celle Varazze
2 : 1
Valenzana
28 Oct
Celle Varazze
1 : 2
Gozzano
25 Oct
Imperia Calcio
2 : 0
Celle Varazze
11 Oct
Sestri Levante
1 : 1
Celle Varazze
07 Oct
Bra
2 : 0
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 10 9 0 1 21:10 27
2 Chisola 10 6 2 2 24:12 20
3 AS Biellese 10 6 2 2 21:11 20
4 Ligorna 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
5 Derthona FbC 10 4 4 2 14:14 16
6 Millesimo 10 5 1 4 17:11 16
7 Imperia Calcio 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Asti Calcio 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
9 Gozzano 10 4 2 4 12:15 14
10 Sanremese 10 3 5 2 12:9 14
11 Saluzzo 10 2 6 2 10:10 12
12 Borgosesia Calcio 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
13 GSD Lascaris 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
14 Fezzanese 10 3 1 6 8:15 10
15 Bra 10 2 4 4 8:14 10
16 Sestri Levante 10 2 4 4 7:10 10
17 Valenzana 10 1 2 7 10:18 5
18 Celle Varazze 10 1 1 8 5:19 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)