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Imperia Calcio vs Millesimo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Margiotta F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Imperia Calcio and Millesimo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imperia Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Imperia Calcio
15%
Draws
55%
Millesimo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Millesimo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Imperia Calcio come out ahead of Millesimo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Imperia Calcio a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Millesimo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imperia Calcio Millesimo
Matches Played 29 4
Wins 9 2
Draws 10 0
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.03 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Millesimo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imperia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Margiotta F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Millesimo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imperia Calcio 42 / 100
Millesimo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imperia Calcio Millesimo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millesimo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 4 matches.

Imperia Calcio's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Imperia Calcio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Imperia Calcio VS Millesimo
1 Goals Scored 1.2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.8
75% Over 1.5 40%
38% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Imperia Calcio

(Home)
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 0
Millesimo
09 Aug
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Imperia Calcio
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 6

Millesimo

(Away)
20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Millesimo
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1
Alessandria
12 Sept
Millesimo
2 : 1
Valenzana
06 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 0
Millesimo

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derthona FbC 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Saluzzo 4 2 2 0 8:4 8
3 AS Biellese 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
4 GSD Lascaris 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
5 Fezzanese 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
6 Asti Calcio 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
7 Millesimo 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
8 Alessandria 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
9 Sanremese 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Imperia Calcio 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
11 Ligorna 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
12 Chisola 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
13 Sestri Levante 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Borgosesia Calcio 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
15 Bra 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
16 Gozzano 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
17 Valenzana 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
18 Celle Varazze 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)