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Imperia Calcio vs Millesimo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Margiotta F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Imperia Calcio and Millesimo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imperia Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Imperia Calcio
30%
Draws
33%
Millesimo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Imperia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Imperia Calcio come out ahead of Millesimo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Imperia Calcio a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 13%
Millesimo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imperia Calcio Millesimo
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 9 5
Draws 12 1
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Millesimo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imperia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Margiotta F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Millesimo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imperia Calcio 40 / 100
Millesimo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imperia Calcio Millesimo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imperia Calcio's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Millesimo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 11 matches.

Imperia Calcio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Imperia Calcio VS Millesimo
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Imperia Calcio

(Home)
01 Nov
Sanremese
0 : 0
Imperia Calcio
25 Oct
Imperia Calcio
2 : 0
Celle Varazze
18 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
4 : 2
Imperia Calcio
11 Oct
Imperia Calcio
2 : 1
AS Biellese
04 Oct
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Millesimo

(Away)
01 Nov
AS Biellese
4 : 1
Millesimo
24 Oct
Millesimo
1 : 1
Sanremese
18 Oct
Fezzanese
0 : 4
Millesimo
11 Oct
Millesimo
3 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
07 Oct
Sanremese
5 : 2
Millesimo
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 10 9 0 1 21:10 27
2 Chisola 10 6 2 2 24:12 20
3 AS Biellese 10 6 2 2 21:11 20
4 Ligorna 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
5 Derthona FbC 10 4 4 2 14:14 16
6 Millesimo 10 5 1 4 17:11 16
7 Imperia Calcio 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Asti Calcio 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
9 Gozzano 10 4 2 4 12:15 14
10 Sanremese 10 3 5 2 12:9 14
11 Saluzzo 10 2 6 2 10:10 12
12 Borgosesia Calcio 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
13 GSD Lascaris 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
14 Fezzanese 10 3 1 6 8:15 10
15 Bra 10 2 4 4 8:14 10
16 Sestri Levante 10 2 4 4 7:10 10
17 Valenzana 10 1 2 7 10:18 5
18 Celle Varazze 10 1 1 8 5:19 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)