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IMT Novi Beograd vs Crvena zvezda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga Voždovac Stadium, Belgrade
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Kostov V.
Assist: Bukari O.
44'
Martos I.
56'
Sub
Cham M. In: Handel T.
Out: Cham M.

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Super Liga game between IMT Novi Beograd and Crvena zvezda finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crvena zvezda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
IMT Novi Beograd
30%
Draws
43%
Crvena zvezda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crvena zvezda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Crvena zvezda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Crvena zvezda have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
IMT Novi Beograd Clean Sheet 20%
Crvena zvezda Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IMT Novi Beograd Crvena zvezda
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 10 24
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 0.97 2.11
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
IMT Novi Beograd vs Crvena zvezda
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
IMT Novi Beograd vs Crvena zvezda
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Crvena zvezda vs IMT Novi Beograd
6:1
Mar 2, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Crvena zvezda vs IMT Novi Beograd
4:0
Oct 6, 2024 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
IMT Novi Beograd vs Crvena zvezda
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IMT Novi Beograd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Crvena zvezda Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IMT Novi Beograd 32 / 100
Crvena zvezda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IMT Novi Beograd Crvena zvezda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crvena zvezda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

IMT Novi Beograd scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: IMT Novi Beograd remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Crvena zvezda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

IMT Novi Beograd VS Crvena zvezda
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

IMT Novi Beograd

(Home)
10 Oct
IMT Novi Beograd
1 : 0
Radnik Surdulica
19 Sept
Vojvodina
1 : 1
IMT Novi Beograd
13 Sept
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1
Crvena zvezda
07 Sept
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
1 : 1
IMT Novi Beograd
30 Aug
IMT Novi Beograd
2 : 0
Mladost Lucani
Page 1 of 6

Crvena zvezda

(Away)
10 Oct
Radnicki 1923
0 : 3
Crvena zvezda
20 Sept
Crvena zvezda
3 : 0
Radnicki Nis
17 Sept
Zeleznicar Pancevo
1 : 2
Crvena zvezda
13 Sept
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1
Crvena zvezda
10 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
0 : 0
Crvena zvezda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crvena zvezda 11 10 1 0 27:3 31
2 Vojvodina 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
3 IMT Novi Beograd 11 5 3 3 13:7 18
4 Radnicki 1923 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
5 Mladost Lucani 10 4 4 2 10:12 16
6 Zeleznicar Pancevo 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
7 Radnik Surdulica 11 3 5 3 14:16 14
8 Novi Pazar 10 3 4 3 10:11 13
9 Cukaricki 11 3 3 5 14:20 12
10 OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
11 Macva Sabac 11 2 3 6 8:19 9
12 Partizan 9 2 2 5 17:19 8
13 Radnicki Nis 9 2 2 5 6:11 8
14 Zemun 10 0 3 7 6:19 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)