Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga Voždovac Stadium, Belgrade
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
1 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Fabien K.
Assist: Glisic N.
23'
Popovic M.
23'
Sub
Fabien K. In: Radocaj V.
Out: Fabien K.

AI Match Summary

IMT Novi Beograd host Radnik Surdulica in the Mozzart Bet Super Liga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: IMT Novi Beograd at 0.97 goals for, 0.76 against; Radnik Surdulica at 1.26 for, 1.52 against. Head-to-head, IMT Novi Beograd have won 1 to Radnik Surdulica's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.13) point toward IMT Novi Beograd. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
IMT Novi Beograd
35%
Draws
35%
Radnik Surdulica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to IMT Novi Beograd lately — more wins on the board than Radnik Surdulica.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
IMT Novi Beograd Clean Sheet 20%
Radnik Surdulica Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IMT Novi Beograd Radnik Surdulica
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 8
Draws 11 13
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica
0:0
Mar 2, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica
0:0
Oct 29, 2025 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Radnik Surdulica vs IMT Novi Beograd
0:1
Sep 26, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Radnik Surdulica vs IMT Novi Beograd
2:0
Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IMT Novi Beograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabien K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Radnik Surdulica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IMT Novi Beograd 32 / 100
Radnik Surdulica 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IMT Novi Beograd Radnik Surdulica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IMT Novi Beograd's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Radnik Surdulica let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

IMT Novi Beograd has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

IMT Novi Beograd VS Radnik Surdulica
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

IMT Novi Beograd

(Home)
19 Sept
Vojvodina
1 : 1
IMT Novi Beograd
13 Sept
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1
Crvena zvezda
07 Sept
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
1 : 1
IMT Novi Beograd
30 Aug
IMT Novi Beograd
2 : 0
Mladost Lucani
22 Aug
Radnicki 1923
2 : 1
IMT Novi Beograd
Page 1 of 6

Radnik Surdulica

(Away)
19 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
4 : 4
Partizan
14 Sept
Zemun
1 : 1
Radnik Surdulica
10 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
0 : 0
Crvena zvezda
05 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
3 : 1
Cukaricki
29 Aug
Zeleznicar Pancevo
5 : 1
Radnik Surdulica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crvena zvezda 10 9 1 0 24:3 28
2 Vojvodina 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
3 Radnicki 1923 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
4 Mladost Lucani 10 4 4 2 10:12 16
5 IMT Novi Beograd 10 4 3 3 12:7 15
6 Zeleznicar Pancevo 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
7 Radnik Surdulica 10 3 5 2 14:15 14
8 Novi Pazar 10 3 4 3 10:11 13
9 Cukaricki 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
10 OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
11 Partizan 9 2 2 5 17:19 8
12 Radnicki Nis 9 2 2 5 6:11 8
13 Macva Sabac 10 2 2 6 6:17 8
14 Zemun 10 0 3 7 6:19 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)