Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inca Aruba vs Inter Santa Tecla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inca Aruba host Inter Santa Tecla in the Primera Division. This one's hard to separate. Inca Aruba have averaged 0.86 scored and 1.64 conceded recently, against Inter Santa Tecla's 1.33 scored and 1.19 conceded. Past meetings favor Inter Santa Tecla slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.13) point toward Inter Santa Tecla. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Inca Aruba
35%
Draws
22%
Inter Santa Tecla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Inca Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Inter Santa Tecla have won more games recently than Inca Aruba.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Inca Aruba Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inca Aruba Inter Santa Tecla
Matches Played 14 27
Wins 4 11
Draws 4 10
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 0.86 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Inca Aruba
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inca Aruba 31 / 100
Inter Santa Tecla 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inca Aruba Inter Santa Tecla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inca Aruba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Inca Aruba scored in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Inter Santa Tecla let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Inca Aruba has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inca Aruba VS Inter Santa Tecla
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inca Aruba

(Home)
05 Oct
FAS
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
02 Oct
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
19 Sept
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 3

Inter Santa Tecla

(Away)
04 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1
Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1
Atletico Balboa
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
17 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 2
FAS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
2 Luis Angel Firpo 13 7 4 2 23:9 25
3 FAS 12 7 3 2 22:11 24
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Alianza FC 12 4 6 2 19:17 18
7 Municipal Limeno 14 5 2 7 19:19 17
8 Platense Municipal 14 4 4 6 15:19 16
9 Inca Aruba 14 4 4 6 12:23 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Cacahuatique 14 2 5 7 14:24 11
12 Fuerte San Francisco 14 1 6 7 9:23 9
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)