Sport Picks

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Inca Aruba vs Luis Angel Firpo

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inca Aruba host Luis Angel Firpo in the Primera Division. Luis Angel Firpo are expected to control this from the start. Inca Aruba have averaged 0.33 scored and 1.67 conceded recently, against Luis Angel Firpo's 1.75 scored and 0.5 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.42 - 1.71) back Luis Angel Firpo to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Inca Aruba
22%
Draws
60%
Luis Angel Firpo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Luis Angel Firpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luis Angel Firpo come out ahead of Inca Aruba on wins alone.
  • Model gives Luis Angel Firpo a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Inca Aruba Clean Sheet 12%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inca Aruba Luis Angel Firpo
Matches Played 2 29
Wins 0 17
Draws 0 6
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 0.33 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.67 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inca Aruba 19 / 100
Luis Angel Firpo 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inca Aruba Luis Angel Firpo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Luis Angel Firpo conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Inca Aruba found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (2 games).

Luis Angel Firpo's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Inca Aruba VS Luis Angel Firpo
0.33 Goals Scored 1.75
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.5
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inca Aruba

(Home)
29 Jul
Municipal Limeno
2 : 0
Inca Aruba
26 Jul
Inca Aruba
1 : 3
Alianza FC

Luis Angel Firpo

(Away)
30 Jul
Luis Angel Firpo
4 : 0
Fuerte San Francisco
26 Jul
Aguila
1 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
17 May
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 2
Aguila
13 May
Aguila
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
10 May
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 1
Metapan
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luis Angel Firpo21105:14
2Metapan11004:23
3Alianza FC11003:13
4FAS11003:13
5Cacahuatique21016:63
6Municipal Limeno21013:33
7Aguila10101:11
8Platense Municipal10101:11
9Inter Santa Tecla10100:01
10Atletico Balboa20112:41
11Fuerte San Francisco20111:51
12Inca Aruba20021:50
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)