Sport Picks
Inca Aruba vs Metapan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
El Salvador
Primera Division 
AI Match Summary
Inca Aruba host Metapan in the Primera Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Inca Aruba have averaged 0.81 scored and 1.81 conceded recently, against Metapan's 1.21 scored and 1.31 conceded. Past meetings favor Inca Aruba slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.25) point toward Metapan. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Inca Aruba haven't matched Metapan's recent run of results.
- Model gives Metapan a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Inca Aruba | Metapan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 16 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.81 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Inca Aruba scored in 69% of their last 16 outings.
Metapan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Inca Aruba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Inca Aruba
(Home)Metapan
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luis Angel Firpo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28:11 | 31 |
| 2 | FAS | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27:15 | 30 |
| 3 | Metapan | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 23:17 | 29 |
| 4 | Aguila | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 27:20 | 24 |
| 5 | Inter Santa Tecla | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 6 | Platense Municipal | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22:22 | 22 |
| 7 | Alianza FC | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Municipal Limeno | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13:29 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:25 | 14 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15:26 | 12 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 13:27 | 12 |
