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Inca Aruba vs Municipal Limeno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Barahona J.
33' Event
Urrutia J.
41' Event
Argueta J. C.

AI Match Summary

Inca Aruba in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inca Aruba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Inca Aruba
20%
Draws
22%
Municipal Limeno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inca Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Municipal Limeno have won more games recently than Inca Aruba.
  • Win probability leans Inca Aruba's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Inca Aruba Clean Sheet 68%
Municipal Limeno Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inca Aruba Municipal Limeno
Matches Played 15 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Primera Division
Inca Aruba vs Municipal Limeno
2:1
Jul 29, 2026 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Inca Aruba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inca Aruba Compare

Top Goalscorer Barahona J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Urrutia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Municipal Limeno Compare

Top Goalscorer Argueta J. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inca Aruba 77 / 100
Municipal Limeno 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inca Aruba Municipal Limeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inca Aruba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inca Aruba's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Defensive concern: Municipal Limeno conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Inca Aruba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inca Aruba VS Municipal Limeno
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inca Aruba

(Home)
10 Oct
Inca Aruba
1 : 4
Platense Municipal
05 Oct
FAS
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
02 Oct
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
19 Sept
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 3

Municipal Limeno

(Away)
04 Oct
Platense Municipal
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
02 Oct
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
27 Sept
Municipal Limeno
1 : 3
FAS
20 Sept
Alianza FC
3 : 2
Municipal Limeno
13 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 2
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 13 8 3 2 24:12 27
2 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
3 Luis Angel Firpo 13 7 4 2 23:9 25
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Platense Municipal 15 5 4 6 19:20 19
7 Alianza FC 13 4 6 3 20:19 18
8 Municipal Limeno 14 5 2 7 19:19 17
9 Inca Aruba 15 4 4 7 13:27 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Fuerte San Francisco 15 2 6 7 11:24 12
12 Cacahuatique 15 2 5 8 15:26 11
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)