Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Incheon vs Daejeon

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Sungui Arena Park, Incheon
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Krivotsyuk A.
35' Event
Ferrier M.
42'
Kang Yun-Sung

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Incheon and Daejeon finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Incheon
35%
Draws
45%
Daejeon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Daejeon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Incheon haven't matched Daejeon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Daejeon's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Incheon Clean Sheet 11%
Daejeon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Incheon Daejeon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Daejeon
1:1
May 5, 2026 K League 1
Daejeon vs Incheon
0:0
Mar 18, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Daejeon
1:3
Nov 10, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Daejeon
1:2
Aug 17, 2024 K League 1
Daejeon vs Incheon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Incheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrier M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Daejeon Compare

Top Goalscorer Kang Yun-Sung
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Incheon 22 / 100
Daejeon 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Incheon Daejeon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Daejeon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Incheon found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Daejeon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Incheon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Incheon VS Daejeon
1 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Incheon

(Home)
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0
Incheon
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1
Daejeon
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Incheon
08 Sept
Incheon
2 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
05 Sept
Seoul
1 : 0
Incheon
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Daejeon

(Away)
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1
Daejeon
15 Sept
Daejeon
1 : 0
Kyoto
12 Sept
Daejeon
2 : 2
Pohang
09 Sept
Daejeon
3 : 2
Anyang
05 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 5
Daejeon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 30 10 13 7 36:28 43
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Incheon 30 10 9 11 36:33 39
9 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)